Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38900738›Full record

ArticlePloS one2024

Relative contribution of COVID-19 vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection to population-level seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 spike antibodies in a large integrated health system.

Tyler C Chervo, Eric P Elkin, Joshua R Nugent, Emily Valice, Laura B Amsden, Isaac J Ergas, Julie R Munneke, Monica Flores, Gina N Saelee, Crystal A Hsiao and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Tyler C ChervoDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.
Eric P ElkinDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.
Joshua R NugentDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-4479-9673
Emily ValiceDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-2408-9727
Laura B AmsdenDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-1178-2792
Isaac J ErgasDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-3187-9754
Julie R MunnekeDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.ORCID 0009-0006-1908-4218
Monica FloresDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.
Gina N SaeleeDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.
Crystal A HsiaoDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-0806-2671
Jeffery M SchapiroThe Permanente Medical Group, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.
Charles P QuesenberryDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-8272-9126
Douglas A CorleyDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-6132-5165
Laurel A HabelDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-7230-587X
Lawrence H KushiDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.
Jacek SkarbinskiDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-1630-5733

Funding

SARS-CoV-2 Serological Antibody Testing for Disease Surveillance and Clinical UseU01CA260584 · NCI · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI SKARBINSKI, JACEK · 2020 to 2024
$3.3M
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA260584
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUnderstanding the relative contributions of SARS-CoV-2 infection-induced and vaccine-induced seroprevalence is key to measuring overall population-level seroprevalence and help guide policy decisions.

methodsUsing a series of six population-based cross-sectional surveys conducted among persons aged ≥7 years in a large health system with over 4.5 million members between May 2021 and April 2022, we combined data from the electronic health record (EHR), an electronic survey and SARS-CoV-2 spike antibody binding assay, to assess the relative contributions of infection and vaccination to population-level SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence. EHR and survey data were incorporated to determine spike antibody positivity due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 vaccination. We used sampling and non-response weighting to create population-level estimates.

resultsWe enrolled 4,319 persons over six recruitment waves. SARS-CoV-2 spike antibody seroprevalence increased from 83.3% (CI 77.0-88.9) in May 2021 to 93.5% (CI 89.5-97.5) in April 2022. By April 2022, 68.5% (CI 61.9-74.3) of the population was seropositive from COVID-19 vaccination only, 13.9% (10.7-17.9) from COVID-19 vaccination and prior diagnosed SARS-CoV-2 infection, 8.2% (CI 4.5-14.5) from prior diagnosed SARS-CoV-2 infection only and 2.9% (CI 1.1-7.6) from prior undiagnosed SARS-CoV-2 infection only. We found high agreement (≥97%) between EHR and survey data for ascertaining COVID-19 vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection status.

conclusionsBy April 2022, 93.5% of persons had detectable SARS-CoV-2 spike antibody, predominantly from COVID-19 vaccination. In this highly vaccinated population and over 18 months into the pandemic, SARS-CoV-2 infection without COVID-19 vaccination was a small contributor to overall population-level seroprevalence.

Indexed as

Antibodies, ViralCOVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesSARS-CoV-2Spike Glycoprotein, CoronavirusAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedSeroepidemiologic StudiesAntibodies, ViralCOVID-19 VaccinesSpike Glycoprotein, Coronavirusspike protein, SARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID38900738
PMCPMC11189213

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.