Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38900189›Full record

ArticleEuropean spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society2026

Relationship of disc degeneration after pubertal growth spurt to future low back pain: a longitudinal cohort study.

Anni Aavikko, Leena Ristolainen, Hannu Kautiainen, Martina Lohman, Dietrich Schlenzka, Teija Lund

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Article in European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Anni AavikkoDepartment of Orthopedics and Traumatology, Wellbeing Services County of Päijät-Häme, Lahti, Finland.
Leena RistolainenResearch Institute Orton, Orton Orthopaedic Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Hannu KautiainenPrimary Health Care Unit, Kuopio University Hospital, Kuopio, Finland.
Martina LohmanDepartment of Radiology, University of Helsinki and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Dietrich SchlenzkaResearch Institute Orton, Orton Orthopaedic Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Teija LundDepartment of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, University of Helsinki and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland. lundteija@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0001-9519-9355

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeIn this longitudinal cohort study, we investigated the relationship of disc degeneration (DD) after pubertal growth spurt to future low back pain (LBP).

methodsA group of healthy volunteers underwent a semi-structured interview about LBP without trauma and a 1.5T lumbar MRI at ages 18 and 34. A Pfirrmann Summary Score (PSS) was calculated by adding up the Pfirrmann grades of the three lowest lumbar discs of each subject (range 3-15). The relationship of PSS at age 18 to LBP at age 34 was analyzed.

resultsForty-one participants had full data at both time points. Mean PSS at age 18 was 6.8 (SD 1.1) and 5.6 (SD 1.2) for participants with or without LBP at age 34, respectively (p = 0.009). The OR (95% CI) of PSS at age 18 for LBP at age 34 was 5.46 (1.22 to 24.47) when adjusted for sex, BMI, smoking and physical activity. All participants but one with PSS greater than 6 at age 18 reported LBP at age 34.

conclusionThis is the first study to suggest that DD may be associated with future LBP and the critical time frame seems to be the pubertal growth spurt. Every 1-point increase in Pfirrmann grade at age 18 increased the risk of LBP 5.5-fold at age 34 when adjusted for sex, BMI, smoking and physical activity at age 34. All participants but one with at least one disc with Pfirrmann grade 3 or higher at age 18 reported LBP at age 34.

Indexed as

Adolescent DevelopmentIntervertebral Disc DegenerationLow Back PainLumbar VertebraeAdolescentAdultFemaleHealthy VolunteersHumansLongitudinal StudiesMagnetic Resonance ImagingMalePubertyDisc degenerationLongitudinalLow back painMagnetic resonance imagingRelationship

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.