Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38895707›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in dementia2023

Prediction of Progression from Mild Cognitive Impairment to Alzheimer's disease with Longitudinal and Multimodal Data.

Huitong Ding, Biqi Wang, Alexander P Hamel, Mark Melkonyan, Ting F A Ang, Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, Rhoda Au, Honghuang Lin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in dementia, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
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  4. Editorial: Mild cognitive impairment and cognitive aging.Frontiers in behavioral neuroscience · 2026
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  8. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Huitong DingDepartment of Anatomy and Neurobiology, Boston University Chobanian & Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA.
Biqi WangDepartment of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Chan Medical School, Worcester, MA, USA.
Alexander P HamelDepartment of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Chan Medical School, Worcester, MA, USA.
Mark MelkonyanDepartment of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Chan Medical School, Worcester, MA, USA.
Ting F A AngDepartment of Anatomy and Neurobiology, Boston University Chobanian & Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA.
Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative
Rhoda AuDepartment of Anatomy and Neurobiology, Boston University Chobanian & Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA.
Honghuang LinDepartment of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Chan Medical School, Worcester, MA, USA.

Funding

Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative - SupplementU01AG024904 · NIA · NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE RES &EDUC · PI WEINER, MICHAEL W · 2004 to 2015
$121.0M
TBDU19AG068753 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI Rhoda Au, Lindsay A. Farrer · 2020 to 2026
$42.4M
PRECURSORS OF STROKE INCIDENCE AND PROGNOSISR01NS017950 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCIENCE CENTER · PI Hugo Javier Aparicio, Jose Rafael Romero · 1985 to 2026
$22.9M
EPIDEMIOLOGY OF DEMENTIA IN THE FRAMINGHAM STUDYR01AG008122 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI AU, RHODA, SESHADRI, SUDHA · 1989 to 2015
$14.4M
MRI, Genetics &Cognitive Precursors of AD &DementiaR01AG016495 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI AU, RHODA · 1999 to 2016
$12.5M
Re-visiting Methods for MCI Diagnosis to Improve Biomarker and Trial FindingsR01AG049810 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI BONDI, MARK W, EDLAND, STEVEN DYAL · 2016 to 2020
$3.7M
Epigenetic changes in synaptic and inflammatory genes involved in the age-dependent development of Alzheimer's disease pathologies andcognitive declineRF1AG054156 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI AU, RHODA, RYU, HOON · 2016 to 2018
$3.4M
Assessing Alzheimer disease risk and heterogeneity using multimodal machine learning approachesU01AG068221 · NIA · UNIV OF MASSACHUSETTS MED SCH WORCESTER · PI DESTEFANO, ANITA L, LIN, HONGHUANG · 2021 to 2024
$2.5M
Cognitive Heterogeneity in those with high Alzheimer's Disease RiskRF1AG062109 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI AU, RHODA · 2020 to 2021
$1.8M
Cognitive heterogeneity in those with high Alzheimer's Disease RiskR01AG062109 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI Rhoda Au, Vijaya B. Kolachalama · 2025 to 2026
$1.6M
Cognitive heterogeneity in those with high Alzheimer's Disease RiskR56AG062109 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI AU, RHODA · 2018 to 2018
$517k
THE FRAMINGHAM HEART STUDY-N01HC25195-268025195-268025195N01HC025195 · HC · TRUSTEES OF BOSTON UNIVERSITY · PI WOLF, PHILIP A · 2002 to 2006
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NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC025195NIA NIH HHS R01 AG008122NIA NIH HHS R01 AG016495NIA NIH HHS R01 AG049810NIA NIH HHS R01 AG062109NIA NIH HHS R56 AG062109NIA NIH HHS RF1 AG054156NIA NIH HHS RF1 AG062109NIA NIH HHS U01 AG024904NIA NIH HHS U01 AG068221NIA NIH HHS U19 AG068753NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS017950
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Accurate prediction of the progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer's disease (AD) within a certain time frame is crucial for appropriate therapeutic interventions. However, it is challenging to capture the dynamic changes in cognitive and functional abilities over time, resulting in limited predictive performance. Our study aimed to investigate whether incorporating longitudinal multimodal data with advanced analytical methods could improve the capability to predict the risk of progressing to AD. Methods: This study included participants from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), a large-scale multi-center longitudinal study. Three data modalities, including demographic variables, neuropsychological tests, and neuroimaging measures were considered. A Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model using data collected at five-time points (baseline, 6-month, 12-month, 18-month, and 24-month) was developed to predict the risk of progression from MCI to AD within two years from the index exam (the exam at 24-month). In contrast, a random forest model was developed to predict the risk of progression just based on the data collected at the index exam. Results: The study included 347 participants with MCI at 24-month (age: mean 75, SD 7 years; 39.8% women) from ADNI, of whom 77 converted to AD over a 2-year follow-up period. The longitudinal LSTM model showed superior prediction performance of MCI-to-AD progression (AUC 0.93±0.06) compared to the random forest model (AUC 0.90±0.09). A similar pattern was also observed across different age groups. Discussion: Our study suggests that the incorporation of longitudinal data can provide better predictive performance for 2-year MCI-to-AD progression risk than relying solely on cross-sectional data. Therefore, repeated or multiple times routine health surveillance of MCI patients are essential in the early detection and intervention of AD.

Indexed as

longitudinal datamachine learningMCI-to-AD progressionmultimodal dataprediction

Identifiers

PMID38895707
PMCPMC11185839

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.