ArticleNature communications2024
Climate change impacts on the extreme power shortage events of wind-solar supply systems worldwide during 1980-2022.
Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed.
- High-impact weather effects on wind and solar power systems under future climate scenarios in China.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Geospatial green ammonia co-firing in China's coal power fleets to avoid CONature communications · 2026Article
- Bridging China's Climate Targets and Mitigation Capacity through Sectoral Policy Implementation.Environmental science & technology · 2026Article
- Rising worldwide challenges to climate-induced extreme low-production events of photovoltaic and wind power.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Vulnerability of power distribution networks to local temperature changes induced by global climate change.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Globally interconnected solar-wind system addresses future electricity demands.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Quantifying extreme failure scenarios in transportation systems with graph learning.Patterns (New York, N.Y.) · 2025Article
- Unraveling climate change-induced compound low-solar-low-wind extremes in China.National science review · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
11 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Economic productivity depends on reliable access to electricity, but the extreme shortage events of variable wind-solar systems may be strongly affected by climate change. Here, hourly reanalysis climatological data are leveraged to examine historical trends in defined extreme shortage events worldwide. We find uptrends in extreme shortage events regardless of their frequency, duration, and intensity since 1980. For instance, duration of extreme low-reliability events worldwide has increased by 4.1 hours (0.392 hours per year on average) between 1980-2000 and 2001-2022. However, such ascending trends are unevenly distributed worldwide, with a greater variability in low- and middle-latitude developing countries. This uptrend in extreme shortage events is driven by extremely low wind speed and solar radiation, particularly compound wind and solar drought, which however are strongly disproportionated. Only average 12.5% change in compound extremely low wind speed and solar radiation events may give rise to over 30% variability in extreme shortage events, despite a mere average 1.0% change in average wind speed and solar radiation. Our findings underline that wind-solar systems will probably suffer from weakened power security if such uptrends persist in a warmer future.
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Registered trials
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