Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38888468›Full record

SynthesisDeutsches Arzteblatt international2024

Daylight Saving Time Transitions and Risk of Heart Attack.

Anke Hurst, Peter Morfeld, Philip Lewis, Thomas C Erren

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Deutsches Arzteblatt international, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Anke HurstInstitute and Policlinic for Occupational Medicine, Environmental Medicine and Prevention Research, University Hospital of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
Peter Morfeld
Philip Lewis
Thomas C Erren

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe health risks of daylight saving time transitions are intensely debated. Disturbed circadian rhythms and lack of sleep after transitions might increase the risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). The only meta-analysis on the risk of AMI has now been considerably expanded.

methodsIn this systematic review and meta-analysis (including meta-regressions and sensitivity analyses), we examine the frequency of AMI in the first few weeks after daylight saving time transitions (OSF registration www.doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/7CFKS). Eight databases were searched for pertinent literature up to September 2023. Authors were contacted for additional information. Study quality was rated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale.

resultsTwelve studies from ten countries were included in the meta-analysis. Nine were of adequate quality, and three were of good quality. The pooled relative risk (RR) of AMI after daylight saving time onset (spring) was 1.04 (95% confidence interval [1.02; 1.07], I2: 57.3%), and 1.02 ([0.99; 1.05], I2: 51.6%) after daylight saving time offset (autumn). Recalculation after the exclusion of one study with inconsistencies yielded pooled RR values of 1.04 [1.01; 1.06] and 1.00 [0.99; 1.02], with the spring results being heterogeneous (I2: 56.9%) and the autumn results homogeneous (I2: 17.1%).

conclusionCurrent evidence suggests that there may be an increased risk of AMI after the spring transition, although there is moderate to marked heterogeneity among the studies that support this conclusion. More easily interpretable studies, such as those already conducted in the field of economics, should clarify associations with the aid of discontinuity regression and placebo tests. To this end, comparative risk analyses using years or places wherein daylight saving time was not practiced would be suitable.

Indexed as

Circadian RhythmMyocardial InfarctionHumansRisk FactorsSeasons

Identifiers

PMID38888468
PMCPMC11526362

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.