ArticleScientific reports2024
Development of a predictive nomogram for in-hospital death risk in multimorbid patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing Palliative Locoregional Therapy.
Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Trends in the global burden of anemia associated with liver cirrhosis: an assessment from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2045.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Development of a machine learning-based predictive nomogram for screening children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis: a pseudo-longitudinal study of 223,195 children in the United States.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
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6 authors.
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Abstract
Patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) often present with multimorbidity, significantly contributing to adverse outcomes, particularly in-hospital mortality. This study aimed to develop a predictive nomogram to assess the impact of comorbidities on in-hospital mortality risk in HCC patients undergoing palliative locoregional therapy. We retrospectively analyzed data from 345 hospitalized HCC patients who underwent palliative locoregional therapy between January 2015 and December 2022. The nomogram was constructed using independent risk factors such as length of stay (LOS), hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), anemia, thrombocytopenia, liver cirrhosis, hepatic encephalopathy (HE), N stage, and microvascular invasion. The model demonstrated high predictive accuracy with an AUC of 0.908 (95% CI: 0.859-0.956) for the overall dataset, 0.926 (95% CI: 0.883-0.968) for the training set, and 0.862 (95% CI: 0.728-0.994) for the validation set. Calibration curves indicated a strong correlation between predicted and observed outcomes, validated by statistical tests. Decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curves (CIC) confirmed the model's clinical utility in predicting in-hospital mortality. This nomogram offers a practical tool for personalized risk assessment in HCC patients undergoing palliative locoregional therapy, facilitating informed clinical decision-making and improving patient management.
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