Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38885390›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

A global map of species at risk of extinction due to natural hazards.

Fernando Gonçalves, Harith Farooq, Mike Harfoot, Mathias M Pires, Nacho Villar, Lilian Sales, Carolina Carvalho, Carolina Bello, Carine Emer, Ricardo S Bovendorp and 16 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. How wildlife respond to tropical cyclones: short-term tactics and long-term impacts.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. A global map of species at risk of extinction due to natural hazards.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

26 authors.

Fernando Gonçalves *Center for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.
Harith Farooq *Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, Globe Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen 1350, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0001-9031-2785
Mike HarfootVizzuality, Calle de Fuencarral, Madrid 28010, Spain.
Mathias M PiresCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-2500-4748
Nacho VillarCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-3609-4080
Lilian SalesDepartment of Earth, Environmental and Geographic Sciences, Irving K. Barber, Faculty of Science, University of British Columbia Okanagan, Kelowna, BC V1V 1V8, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-1159-6412
Carolina CarvalhoCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-0063-2185
Carolina BelloCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-6351-4998
Carine EmerCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-1258-2816
Ricardo S BovendorpCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-0734-1866
Calebe MendesCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.
Gabrielle BecaCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.
Laís LautenschlagerCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-2526-2333
Yuri SouzaCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-2133-0469
Felipe PedrosaCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.
Claudia PazCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-9754-4087
Valesca B ZipparroCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.
Paula AkkawiCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.
William BercêCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-2837-3928
Fabiano FarahCenter for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.
André V L FreitasDepartamento de Biologia Animal, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Campinas, São Paulo 13083-862, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-5763-4990
Luís Fábio SilveiraMuseu de Zoologia de São Paulo, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo 04263-000, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-2576-7657
Fábio OlmosPermian Global, London W1G 0LB, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3832-6455
Jonas Geldmann *Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, Globe Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen 1350, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-1191-7610
Bo Dalsgaard *Section for Molecular Ecology and Evolution, Globe Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen 1350, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-2867-2805
Mauro Galetti *Center for Research on Biodiversity Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Biodiversity, São Paulo State University, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo 13506-900, Brazil.

Funding

Bernina FoundationDOB EcologyFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São PauloIndependent Research Fund Denmark
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

An often-overlooked question of the biodiversity crisis is how natural hazards contribute to species extinction risk. To address this issue, we explored how four natural hazards, earthquakes, hurricanes, tsunamis, and volcanoes, overlapped with the distribution ranges of amphibians, birds, mammals, and reptiles that have either narrow distributions or populations with few mature individuals. To assess which species are at risk from these natural hazards, we combined the frequency and magnitude of each natural hazard to estimate their impact. We considered species at risk if they overlapped with regions where any of the four natural hazards historically occurred (n = 3,722). Those species with at least a quarter of their range subjected to a high relative impact were considered at high risk (n = 2,001) of extinction due to natural hazards. In total, 834 reptiles, 617 amphibians, 302 birds, and 248 mammals were at high risk and they were mainly distributed on islands and in the tropics. Hurricanes (n = 983) and earthquakes (n = 868) affected most species, while tsunamis (n = 272), and volcanoes (n = 171) affected considerably fewer. The region with the highest number of species at high risk was the Pacific Ring of Fire, especially due to volcanoes, earthquakes, and tsunamis, while hurricane-related high-risk species were concentrated in the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, and northwestern Pacific Ocean. Our study provides important information regarding the species at risk due to natural hazards and can help guide conservation attention and efforts to safeguard their survival.

Indexed as

BiodiversityExtinction, BiologicalAmphibiansAnimalsBirdsCyclonic StormsEarthquakesMammalsNatural DisastersReptilesTsunamisVolcanic Eruptionsconservation strategiesearthquakehurricanetsunamisvolcanoes

Identifiers

PMID38885390
PMCPMC11214083

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.