Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38882202›Full record

ReviewEnvironmental science & technology letters2024

Global-to-Local Dependencies in Phosphorus Mass Flows and Markets: Pathways to Improving System Resiliency in Response to Exogenous Shocks.

Justin Baker, Nathan Schunk, Matt Scholz, Ashton Merck, Rebecca Logsdon Muenich, Paul Westerhoff, James J Elser, Owen W Duckworth, Luke Gatiboni, Minhazul Islam and 3 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Environmental science & technology letters, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Justin BakerForestry and Environmental Resources, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27695, United States.
Nathan SchunkForestry and Environmental Resources, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27695, United States.
Matt ScholzGlobal Institute of Sustainability and Innovation, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85287 United States.
Ashton MerckDepartment of Applied Ecology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27607, United States.
Rebecca Logsdon MuenichDepartment of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, Arkansas 72701, United States.
Paul WesterhoffSchool of Sustainable Engineering and the Built Environment, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85259, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9241-8759
James J ElserSchool of Sustainability and Sustainable Phosphorus Alliance, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85281, United States.
Owen W DuckworthDepartment of Crop and Soil Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27695, United States.
Luke GatiboniDepartment of Crop and Soil Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27695, United States.
Minhazul IslamSchool of Sustainable Engineering and the Built Environment, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85259, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6807-2228
Anna-Maria MarshallDepartment of Sociology, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, Illinois 61801, United States.
Rosangela SozzaniPlant and Microbial Biology Department and NC Plant Sciences Initiative, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27695, United States.
Brooke K MayerDepartment of Civil, Construction and Environmental Engineering, Marquette University, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53233, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4858-2834

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Uneven global distribution of phosphate rock deposits and the supply chains to transport phosphorus (P) make P fertilizers vulnerable to exogenous shocks, including commodity market shocks; extreme weather events or natural disasters; and geopolitical instability, such as trade disputes, disruption of shipping routes, and war. Understanding bidirectional risk transmission (global-to-local and local-to-global) in P supply and consumption chains is thus essential. Ignoring P system interdependencies and associated risks could have major impacts on critical infrastructure operations and increase the vulnerability of global food systems. We highlight recent unanticipated events and cascading effects that have impacted P markets globally. We discuss the need to account for exogenous shocks in local assessments of P flows, policies, and infrastructure design choices. We also provide examples of how accounting for undervalued global risks to the P industry can hasten the transition to a sustainable P future. For example, leveraging internal P recycling loops, improving plant P use efficiency, and utilizing legacy soil P all enhance system resiliency in the face of exogenous shocks and long-term anticipated threats. Strategies applied at the local level, which are embedded within national and global policy systems, can have global-scale impacts in derisking the P supply chain.

Identifiers

PMID38882202
PMCPMC11171449

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.