Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38880817›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

External validation of the modified CTP score based on ammonia to predict survival in patients with cirrhosis after TIPS placement.

Binlin Da, Wei Wu, Wuhua Guo, Kai Xiong, Chao Chen, Qiao Ke, Moran Zhang, Taishun Li, Jiangqiang Xiao, Lei Wang and 3 more

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Binlin Da *Department of Gastroenterology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College, Nanjing Medical University, 321#, Zhongshan Road, Nanjing, 210008, Jiangsu, China.
Wei Wu *Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Wuhua Guo *Department of Interventional Radiology, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.
Kai XiongDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Chao ChenDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Qiao KeDepartment of Interventional Radiology, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.
Moran ZhangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
Taishun LiMedical Statistical Analysis Centre, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Jiangqiang XiaoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College, Nanjing Medical University, 321#, Zhongshan Road, Nanjing, 210008, Jiangsu, China.
Lei WangDepartment of Gastroenterology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College, Nanjing Medical University, 321#, Zhongshan Road, Nanjing, 210008, Jiangsu, China.
Ming ZhangDepartment of Gastroenterology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College, Nanjing Medical University, 321#, Zhongshan Road, Nanjing, 210008, Jiangsu, China. mg0923@163.com.
Feng ZhangDepartment of Gastroenterology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College, Nanjing Medical University, 321#, Zhongshan Road, Nanjing, 210008, Jiangsu, China. fzdndx@126.com.
Yuzheng ZhugeDepartment of Gastroenterology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College, Nanjing Medical University, 321#, Zhongshan Road, Nanjing, 210008, Jiangsu, China. yuzheng9111963@aliyun.com.

Funding

Nanjing Health Science, Technology Development Special Fund project - Outstanding Youth Fund project JQX20005National Natural Science Foundation of China 81900552
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aimed to perform the first external validation of the modified Child-Turcotte-Pugh score based on plasma ammonia (aCTP) and compare it with other risk scoring systems to predict survival in patients with cirrhosis after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement. We retrospectively reviewed 473 patients from three cohorts between January 2016 and June 2022 and compared the aCTP score with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and sodium MELD (MELD-Na) in predicting transplant-free survival by the concordance index (C-index), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA) curve. The median follow-up time was 29 months, during which a total of 62 (20.74%) patients died or underwent liver transplantation. The survival curves for the three aCTP grades differed significantly. Patients with aCTP grade C had a shorter expected lifespan than patients with aCTP grades A and B (P < 0.0001). The aCTP score showed the best discriminative performance using the C-index compared with other scores at each time point during follow-up, it also showed better calibration in the calibration plot and the lowest Brier scores, and it also showed a higher net benefit than the other scores in the DCA curve. The aCTP score outperformed the other risk scores in predicting survival after TIPS placement in patients with cirrhosis and may be useful for risk stratification and survival prediction.

Indexed as

AmmoniaLiver CirrhosisPortasystemic Shunt, Transjugular IntrahepaticAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesROC CurveSeverity of Illness IndexAmmoniaCirrhosisPrediction modelRisk stratificationSurvivalTransjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt

Identifiers

PMID38880817
PMCPMC11180650

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.