Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38875545›Full record

ArticleJMIR AI2022

Chronic Disease Prediction Using the Common Data Model: Development Study.

Chanjung Lee, Brian Jo, Hyunki Woo, Yoori Im, Rae Woong Park, ChulHyoung Park

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR AI, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Chanjung Lee *Evidnet, Seongnam, Republic of Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4637-9709
Brian JoEvidnet, Seongnam, Republic of Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5065-6441
Hyunki WooEvidnet, Seongnam, Republic of Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4868-6270
Yoori ImEvidnet, Seongnam, Republic of Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4837-3781
Rae Woong ParkDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Ajou University Hospital, Suwon, Republic of Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4989-3287
ChulHyoung ParkDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Ajou University Hospital, Suwon, Republic of Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0531-9144

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChronic disease management is a major health issue worldwide. With the paradigm shift to preventive medicine, disease prediction modeling using machine learning is gaining importance for precise and accurate medical judgement.

objectiveThis study aimed to develop high-performance prediction models for 4 chronic diseases using the common data model (CDM) and machine learning and to confirm the possibility for the extension of the proposed models.

methodsIn this study, 4 major chronic diseases-namely, diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and cardiovascular disease-were selected, and a model for predicting their occurrence within 10 years was developed. For model development, the Atlas analysis tool was used to define the chronic disease to be predicted, and data were extracted from the CDM according to the defined conditions. A model for predicting each disease was built with 4 algorithms verified in previous studies, and the performance was compared after applying a grid search.

resultsFor the prediction of each disease, we applied 4 algorithms (logistic regression, gradient boosting, random forest, and extreme gradient boosting), and all models show greater than 80% accuracy. As compared to the optimized model's performance, extreme gradient boosting presented the highest predictive performance for the 4 diseases (diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and cardiovascular disease) with 80% or greater and from 0.84 to 0.93 in area under the curve standards.

conclusionsThis study demonstrates the possibility for the preemptive management of chronic diseases by predicting the occurrence of chronic diseases using the CDM and machine learning. With these models, the risk of developing major chronic diseases within 10 years can be demonstrated by identifying health risk factors using our chronic disease prediction machine learning model developed with the real-world data-based CDM and National Health Insurance Corporation examination data that individuals can easily obtain.

Indexed as

chronic diseasecommon data modeldata modeldisease managementdisease predictionhealth riskmachine learningpredictionprediction modelrisk factorsrisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID38875545
PMCPMC11041444

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.