Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38867097›Full record

SynthesisDigestive diseases and sciences2024

A Meta-Analysis of Cumulative Incidence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After the Fontan Operation.

Sophie Hansen, Richard Gilroy, Ian Lindsay, John R Doty, Ross A Butschek, Christopher J Danford

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Digestive diseases and sciences, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. The Cardiohepatic Axis in Heart Failure.JACC. Basic to translational science · 2025
    Review
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Sophie HansenSchool of Biological Sciences, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, 84132, USA.
Richard GilroyTransplant Services, Intermountain Medical Center, 5171 Cottonwood St. #210, Murray, UT, 84107, USA.
Ian LindsayDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, 84132, USA.
John R DotyCardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Intermountain Medical Center, Murray, UT, 84107, USA.
Ross A ButschekIntermountain Medical Center, Heart Institute, Murray, UT, 84107, USA.
Christopher J DanfordTransplant Services, Intermountain Medical Center, 5171 Cottonwood St. #210, Murray, UT, 84107, USA. christopher.danford@imail.org.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHepatic complications are increasingly recognized after the Fontan operation. The development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is associated with high mortality when diagnosed, but its incidence and risk factors are poorly understood. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the cumulative incidence of HCC after Fontan and associated risk factors.

methodsWe searched PubMed, CINAHL, and MEDLINE databases for articles reporting the cumulative incidence of HCC after Fontan operation on March 21, 2023. A single-arm random effects meta-analysis was conducted to assess cumulative incidence at 10, 20, and 30 years after Fontan. Meta-analysis of the difference of the medians was used to assess the influence of risk factors on the development of HCC.

resultsFour studies including a total of 1320 patients reported cumulative incidence. The cumulative incidence of HCC at 10, 20, and 30 years after Fontan was 0% (95% CI 0.00-0.01), 2% (0.01-0.06), and 7% (0.03-0.17) respectively. Seven studies including 6,250 patients reported overall incidence of HCC and associated risk factors. At a median 18.4 (IQR 11.9-24.9) years of follow-up, incidence of HCC was 2% (0.01-0.04). Only use of anticoagulation was associated with a lower risk of HCC (RR 0.3, 95% CI 0.1-0.88). DISCUSSION: By 30 years after Fontan, cumulative incidence of HCC is high (7%). Risk of HCC development prior to 10 years post-Fontan is low (0%), though the decision to defer HCC surveillance in this period may require future investigation based on larger studies. Screening with ultrasound every 6 months starting 20 years post-Fontan is reasonable, however, further research regarding timing, cost-effectiveness, additional risk factors associated with HCC risk, and different screening modalities is required.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularFontan ProcedureLiver NeoplasmsHumansIncidencePostoperative ComplicationsRisk FactorsCongenital heart diseaseCongestive hepatopathyLiver cancerScreeningSystematic review

Identifiers

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.