Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38861426›Full record

ArticleJournal of the International AIDS Society2024

Preventing tuberculosis with community-based care in an HIV-endemic setting: a modelling analysis.

Jennifer M Ross, Chelsea Greene, Cara J Broshkevitch, David W Dowdy, Alastair van Heerden, Jesse Heitner, Darcy W Rao, D Allen Roberts, Adrienne E Shapiro, Zelda B Zabinsky and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Jennifer M Ross *Division of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5677-939X
Chelsea Greene *Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Cara J BroshkevitchDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5627-8250
David W DowdyDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0481-7475
Alastair van HeerdenCentre for Community Based Research, Human Sciences Research Council, Pietermaritzburg, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0003-2530-6885
Jesse HeitnerDivision of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Darcy W RaoBill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, Washington, USA.
D Allen RobertsDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3660-6330
Adrienne E ShapiroDivision of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3106-1258
Zelda B ZabinskyDepartment of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Ruanne V BarnabasDivision of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Funding

HOST DEFENSE TRAINING IN ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASEST32AI007044 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI DAVID Neal FREDRICKS · 1985 to 2026
$14.6M
Modeling approaches to prioritize TB prevention among people with HIV in UgandaK01AI138620 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI ROSS, JENNIFER M · 2019 to 2022
$446k
Firland FoundationNIAID NIH HHS K01 AI138620NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI007044
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAntiretroviral therapy (ART) and tuberculosis preventive treatment (TPT) both prevent tuberculosis (TB) disease and deaths among people living with HIV. Differentiated care models, including community-based care, can increase the uptake of ART and TPT to prevent TB in settings with a high burden of HIV-associated TB, particularly among men.

methodsWe developed a gender-stratified dynamic model of TB and HIV transmission and disease progression among 100,000 adults ages 15-59 in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. We drew model parameters from a community-based ART initiation and resupply trial in sub-Saharan Africa (Delivery Optimization for Antiretroviral Therapy, DO ART) and other scientific literature. We simulated the impacts of community-based ART and TPT care programmes during 2018-2027, assuming that community-based ART and TPT care were scaled up to similar levels as in the DO ART trial (i.e. ART coverage increasing from 49% to 82% among men and from 69% to 83% among women) and sustained for 10 years. We projected the number of TB cases, deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) averted relative to standard, clinic-based care. We calculated programme costs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios from the provider perspective.

resultsIf community-based ART care could be implemented with similar effectiveness to the DO ART trial, increased ART coverage could reduce TB incidence by 27.0% (range 21.3%-34.1%) and TB mortality by 34.6% (range 24.8%-42.2%) after 10 years. Increasing both ART and TPT uptake through community-based ART with TPT care could reduce TB incidence by 29.7% (range 23.9%-36.0%) and TB mortality by 36.0% (range 26.9%-43.8%). Community-based ART with TPT care reduced gender disparities in TB mortality rates, with a projected 54 more deaths annually among men than women (range 11-103) after 10 years of community-based care versus 109 (range 41-182) in standard care. Over 10 years, the mean cost per DALY averted by community-based ART with TPT care was $846 USD (range $709-$1012).

conclusionsBy substantially increasing coverage of ART and TPT, community-based care for people living with HIV could reduce TB incidence and mortality in settings with high burdens of HIV-associated TB and reduce TB gender disparities.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsTuberculosisAdolescentAdultCommunity Health ServicesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedSouth AfricaYoung Adultcost‐effectivenessdifferentiated caregenderHIV epidemiologymodellingTB

Identifiers

PMID38861426
PMCPMC11166187

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.