Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38849568›Full record

ArticleNature food2024

An optimized crop-livestock system can achieve a safe and just planetary boundary for phosphorus at the sub-basin level in China.

Ling Liu, Zhaohai Bai, Jing Yang, Zengwei Yuan, Fei Lun, Mengru Wang, Maryna Strokal, Carolien Kroeze, Zhenling Cui, Xinping Chen and 1 more

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature food, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Future strategies for phosphorus sustainability amid worsening global cycle imbalances.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Ling Liu *Key Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
Zhaohai Bai *Key Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China. baizh1986@126.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7685-5441
Jing YangKey Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
Zengwei YuanState Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, School of the Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6533-4170
Fei LunCollege of Land Science and Technology, China Agricultural University, Beijing, China.
Mengru WangWater Systems and Global Change Group, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2543-4871
Maryna StrokalWater Systems and Global Change Group, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8063-7743
Carolien KroezeWater Systems and Global Change Group, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, the Netherlands.
Zhenling CuiCollege of Resources and Environmental Sciences, National Academy of Agriculture Green Development, Key Laboratory of Plant-Soil Interactions, Ministry of Education, China Agricultural University, Beijing, PR China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5419-3771
Xinping ChenInterdisciplinary Research Center for Agriculture Green Development in Yangtze River Basin, College of Resources and Environment, Southwest University, Chongqing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6245-0133
Lin MaKey Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China. malin1979@sjziam.ac.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1761-0158

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 32102496National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) T2222016National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) U20A2047
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The contribution of crop and livestock production to the exceedance of the planetary boundary for phosphorus (P) in China is still unclear, despite the country's well-known issues with P fertilizer overuse and P-related water pollution. Using coupled models at sub-basin scales we estimate that livestock production increased the consumption of P fertilizer fivefold and exacerbated P losses twofold from 1980 to 2017. At present, China's crop-livestock system is responsible for exceeding what is considered a 'just' threshold for fertilizer P use by 30% (ranging from 17% to 68%) and a 'safe' water quality threshold by 45% (ranging from 31% to 74%) in 25 sub-basins in China. Improving the crop-livestock system will keep all sub-basins within safe water quality and just multigenerational limits for P in 2050.

Indexed as

Crops, AgriculturalFertilizersPhosphorusAgricultureAnimalsChinaLivestockWater QualityFertilizersPhosphorus

Identifiers

PMID38849568

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.