Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38847281›Full record

Observational studyClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2025

Virologic Failure and Drug Resistance After Programmatic Switching to Dolutegravir-based First-line Antiretroviral Therapy in Malawi and Zambia.

Veronika Whitesell Skrivankova, Jacqueline Huwa, Guy Muula, Geldert D Chiwaya, Esau Banda, Shameem Buleya, Belinda Chihota, Joseph Chintedza, Carolyn Bolton, Hannock Tweya and 6 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04612452 (The DTG-SWITCH Study), which is not on this map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04612452 completednot on this map

The DTG-SWITCH Study: Longitudinal Analysis of Virologic Failure and Drug Resistance at and After Switching to Dolutegravir-based First-line ART

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity of BernRan2019 to 2023Enrolled2,820ConditionsHiv, Drug Resistancy, Virologic Failure
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Approaches to the Management of Virologic Failure on Dolutegravir-Based Antiretroviral Therapy in the 50 Countries With the Highest Adult HIV Prevalence.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
    Article
  6. Drug Resistance in People With Viremia on Dolutegravir-based Antiretroviral Therapy in Sub-Saharan Africa: The DTG RESIST Study.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Veronika Whitesell SkrivankovaInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Jacqueline HuwaLighthouse Trust, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Guy MuulaCentre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.
Geldert D ChiwayaLighthouse Trust, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Esau BandaCentre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.
Shameem BuleyaLighthouse Trust, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Belinda ChihotaCentre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.
Joseph ChintedzaLighthouse Trust, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Carolyn BoltonCentre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.
Hannock TweyaLighthouse Trust, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Thokozani KaluaCenter for International Health, Education, and Biosecurity (Ciheb) at University of Maryland, Baltimore School of Medicine (UMB), Lilongwe, Malawi.
Stefanie HossmannInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Roger KouyosDepartment of Infectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, University Hospital Zurich, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Gilles WandelerInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Matthias EggerInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7462-5132
Richard J LessellsKwaZulu-Natal Research Innovation and Sequencing Platform (KRISP), School of Laboratory Medicine & Medical Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.

Funding

Observational Antiretroviral Studies In Southern Africa (OASIS) CollaborationU01AI069924 · NIAID · UNIVERSITAT BERN · PI Cleophas Chimbetete, Mary-Ann Davies · 2006 to 2026
$55.9M
Malawi HIV Implementation Research Scientist Training Program (MHIRST)D43TW010060 · FIC · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI MINA CHRISTINE HOSSEINIPOUR, Victor Mwapasa · 2015 to 2026
$3.8M
HIV-1 subtype-specific drug resistance in patients failing Dolutegravir-based 1st, 2nd or 3rd line regimens: the International epidemiological Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA)R01AI152772 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF ZURICH · PI Roger Dimitri Kouyos · 2021 to 2026
$3.2M
CIDRZDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics of the National Cancer InstituteEunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human DevelopmentFIC NIH HHS D43 TW010060FIC NIH HHS U01AI069924IeDEA-SALighthouse TrustNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases R01AI152772NHLBI NIH HHSNIAAA NIH HHSNIAID NIH HHS R01 AI152772NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069924NIDA NIH HHSNIDDK NIH HHSNIHNIMH NIH HHSSwiss National Science Foundation 32FP30_207285
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPeople with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH) on first-line, nonnucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitor-based antiretroviral therapy (ART) were routinely switched to tenofovir-lamivudine-dolutegravir. We examined virologic outcomes and drug resistance in ART programs in Malawi, where switching was irrespective of viral load, and Zambia, where switching depended on a viral load <1000 copies/mL in the past year.

methodsWe compared the risk of viremia (≥400 copies/mL) at 1 and 2 years by viral load at switch and between countries using exact methods and logistic regression adjusted for age and sex. We performed HIV-1 pol Sanger sequencing on plasma samples with viral load ≥1000 copies/mL.

resultsA total of 2832 PWH were eligible (Malawi 1422, Zambia 1410); the median age was 37 years, and 2578 (91.0%) were women. At switch, 77 (5.4%) were viremic in Malawi and 42 (3.0%) in Zambia (P = .001). Viremia at switch was associated with viremia at 1 year (adjusted odds ratio (OR), 6.15; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.13-11.4) and 2 years (7.0; 95% CI, 3.73-12.6). Viremia was less likely in Zambia than in Malawi at 1 year (OR, 0.55; 0.32-0.94) and 2 years (OR, 0.33; 0.18-0.57). Integrase sequencing was successful for 79 of 113 eligible samples. Drug resistance mutations were found in 5 PWH (Malawi 4, Zambia 1); 2 had major mutations (G118R, E138K, T66A and G118R, E138K) leading to high-level dolutegravir resistance.

conclusionsRestricting switching to dolutegravir-based ART to PWH with a viral load <1000 copies/mL may reduce subsequent viremia and, consequently, the emergence of dolutegravir drug resistance mutations. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04612452).

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsDrug Resistance, ViralHeterocyclic Compounds, 3-RingHIV-1HIV InfectionsAdultDolutegravirFemaleHumansLamivudineMalawiMaleMiddle AgedOxazinesPiperazinesPyridonesAnti-HIV AgentsDolutegravirHeterocyclic Compounds, 3-RingLamivudineOxazinesPiperazinesPyridonesantiretroviral therapydolutegravirdrug resistanceHIVSouthern Africa

Identifiers

PMID38847281
PMCPMC11797054

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.