Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38838615›Full record

ArticleBehaviour research and therapy2024

Heterogeneity in suicide risk: Evidence from personalized dynamic models.

Daniel D L Coppersmith, Evan M Kleiman, Alexander J Millner, Shirley B Wang, Cara Arizmendi, Kate H Bentley, Dylan DeMarco, Rebecca G Fortgang, Kelly L Zuromski, Joseph S Maimone and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Behaviour research and therapy, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. An initial exploration of the daily associations between opioid use and acute suicide risk: The role of posttraumatic stress symptoms.Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors · 2026
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Emotion Forecasting: A Transformer-Based Approach.Journal of medical Internet research · 2025
    Article
  18. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Daniel D L CoppersmithHarvard University, Department of Psychology, USA. Electronic address: dcoppersmith@g.harvard.edu.
Evan M KleimanRutgers, The State University of New Jersey, Department of Psychology, USA.
Alexander J MillnerHarvard University, Department of Psychology, USA; Franciscan Children's, Mental Health Research, USA.
Shirley B WangHarvard University, Department of Psychology, USA.
Cara ArizmendiDuke University School of Medicine, Department of Population Health Sciences, USA.
Kate H BentleyHarvard University, Department of Psychology, USA; Massachusetts General Hospital, Department of Psychiatry, USA.
Dylan DeMarcoHarvard University, Department of Psychology, USA.
Rebecca G FortgangHarvard University, Department of Psychology, USA; Massachusetts General Hospital, Department of Psychiatry, USA.
Kelly L ZuromskiHarvard University, Department of Psychology, USA.
Joseph S MaimoneBoston University, Department of Psychology, USA.
Adam HaimNational Institute of Mental Health, USA.
Jukka-Pekka OnnelaHarvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Department of Biostatistics, USA.
Suzanne A BirdMassachusetts General Hospital, Department of Psychiatry, USA.
Jordan W SmollerMassachusetts General Hospital, Department of Psychiatry, USA.
Patrick MairHarvard University, Department of Psychology, USA.
Matthew K NockHarvard University, Department of Psychology, USA; Franciscan Children's, Mental Health Research, USA; Massachusetts General Hospital, Department of Psychiatry, USA.

Funding

Intensive longitudinal study of suicidal behaviors and related health outcomesU01MH116928 · NIMH · HARVARD UNIVERSITY · PI NOCK, MATTHEW K · 2018 to 2022
$4.3M
Digital Monitoring of Agitation for Short-Term Suicide Risk PredictionK23MH120436 · NIMH · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI BENTLEY, KATE H. · 2019 to 2024
$1.0M
Digital Monitoring of Impulsivity as a Proximal Risk Factor for Suicidal OutcomesK23MH132766 · NIMH · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Rebecca Gwen Fortgang · 2023 to 2026
$783k
Biological/behavioral rhythms and suicidal behavior: A real-time monitoring studyK23MH120439 · NIMH · HARVARD UNIVERSITY · PI ZUROMSKI, KELLY · 2020 to 2023
$740k
Mathematical and computational modeling of suicidal thoughts and behaviorsF31MH125495 · NIMH · HARVARD UNIVERSITY · PI WANG, SHIRLEY B · 2021 to 2022
$70k
Capturing the Structure and Dynamics of Suicidal ThinkingF31MH130055 · NIMH · HARVARD UNIVERSITY · PI COPPERSMITH, DANIEL · 2022 to 2023
$65k
NIMH NIH HHS F31 MH125495NIMH NIH HHS F31 MH130055NIMH NIH HHS K23 MH120436NIMH NIH HHS K23 MH120439NIMH NIH HHS K23 MH132766NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH116928
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Most theories of suicide propose within-person changes in psychological states cause suicidal thoughts/behaviors; however, most studies use between-person analyses. Thus, there are little empirical data exploring current theories in the way they are hypothesized to occur. We used a form of statistical modeling called group iterative multiple model estimation (GIMME) to explore one theory of suicide: The Interpersonal Theory of Suicide (IPTS). GIMME estimates personalized statistical models for each individual and associations shared across individuals. Data were from a real-time monitoring study of individuals with a history of suicidal thoughts/behavior (adult sample: participants = 111, observations = 25,242; adolescent sample: participants = 145, observations = 26,182). Across both samples, none of theorized IPTS effects (i.e., contemporaneous effect from hopeless to suicidal thinking) were shared at the group level. There was significant heterogeneity in the personalized models, suggesting there are different pathways through which different people come to experience suicidal thoughts/behaviors. These findings highlight the complexity of suicide risk and the need for more personalized approaches to assessment and prediction.

Indexed as

Suicidal IdeationSuicideAdolescentAdultFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedModels, PsychologicalModels, StatisticalPsychological TheoryYoung AdultEcological momentary assessmentHeterogeneityHopelessnessSuicidal ideationSuicide

Identifiers

PMID38838615
PMCPMC11323201

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.