Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38836994›Full record

ArticleRheumatology and therapy2024

Projected Health and Economic Burden of Comorbid Gout and Chronic Kidney Disease in a Virtual US Population: A Microsimulation Study.

Joshua Card-Gowers, Lise Retat, Ada Kumar, Brad A Marder, Lissa Padnick-Silver, Brian LaMoreaux, Laura Webber

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Rheumatology and therapy, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Joshua Card-GowersHealthLumen Limited, 35 Ballards Lane, London, N3 1XW, UK.
Lise RetatHealthLumen Limited, 35 Ballards Lane, London, N3 1XW, UK.
Ada KumarAmgen, Inc., Thousand Oaks, CA, USA.
Brad A MarderAmgen, Inc., Thousand Oaks, CA, USA.
Lissa Padnick-SilverAmgen, Inc., Thousand Oaks, CA, USA.
Brian LaMoreauxAmgen, Inc., Thousand Oaks, CA, USA.
Laura WebberHealthLumen Limited, 35 Ballards Lane, London, N3 1XW, UK. laura.webber@healthlumen.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7699-4572

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionGout, a common comorbidity of chronic kidney disease (CKD), is associated with high morbidity and healthcare utilization. However, a large proportion of gout remains undermanaged or untreated which may lead to worse patient outcomes and greater healthcare costs. This study estimates the present and future health and economic burden of controlled and uncontrolled gout in a virtual United States (US) CKD population.

methodsA validated microsimulation model was used to project the burden of gout in patients with CKD in the USA through 2035. Databases were utilized to build a virtual CKD population of "individuals" with controlled or uncontrolled gout. Modelling assumptions were made on the basis of the literature, which was sparse in some cases. Health and economic outcomes with the current care (baseline) scenario were evaluated, along with potential benefits of urate-lowering intervention scenarios.

resultsThe prevalence of comorbid gout and CKD in the USA was projected to increase by 29%, from 7.9 million in 2023 to 9.6 million in 2035 in the baseline scenario. Gout flares, tophi, and comorbidity development were also projected to increase markedly through 2035, with the economic burden of gout in the CKD population subsequently increasing from $38.9 billion in 2023 to $47.3 billion in 2035. An increased use of oral urate-lowering therapies in undermanaged patients, and pegloticase use in patients refractory to oral urate-lowering therapies were also project to result in 744,000 and 353,000 fewer uncontrolled gout cases, respectively, by 2035. Marked reductions in complications and costs ensued.

conclusionsThis study projected a substantial increase in comorbid gout and CKD. However, improved use of urate-lowering interventions could mitigate this growth and reduce the health and economic burdens of gout.

Indexed as

Chronic kidney insufficiencyComputer simulationCost of illnessGoutUrate oxidase

Identifiers

PMID38836994
PMCPMC11264668

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