ArticleCMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne2024
Strategies to accelerate the elimination of cervical cancer in British Columbia, Canada: a modelling study.
Article in CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- Cervical Cancer Screening Cascade: A Framework for Monitoring Uptake and Retention Along the Screening and Treatment Pathway.Current oncology (Toronto, Ont.) · 2025Review
- Advances in cervical cancer: current insights and future directions.Cancer communications (London, England) · 2025Review
- Increasing Cervical Cancer Rates Among Women Age 35-54 Years in Canada: Age-Specific Cervical Cancer Incidence Trends in Canada, 1992-2022.JCO oncology advances · 2025Article
- To eliminate cervical cancer in Canada, nationwide funding of self-sampling for human papillomavirus is needed.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2024Article
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8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundTo eliminate cervical cancer in Canada by 2040, defined as an annual age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) lower than 4.0 per 100 000 women, the Canadian Partnership Against Cancer (CPAC) identified 3 priorities for action: increasing human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine coverage, implementing HPV-based screening and increasing screening participation, and improving follow-up after abnormal screen results. Our objective was to explore the impact of these priorities on the projected time to elimination of cervical cancer in British Columbia.
methodsWe used OncoSim-Cervical, a microsimulation model led and supported by CPAC and developed by Statistics Canada that simulates HPV transmission and the natural history of cervical cancer for the Canadian population. We updated model parameters to reflect BC's historical participation rates and program design. We simulated the transition to HPV-based screening and developed scenarios to explore the additional impact of achieving 90% vaccination coverage, 95% screening recruitment, 90% ontime screening, and 95% follow-up compliance. We projected cervical cancer incidence, ASIR, and year of elimination for the population of BC for 2023-2050.
resultsHPV-based screening at current vaccination, participation, and follow-up rates can eliminate cervical cancer by 2034. Increasing on-time screening and follow-up compliance could achieve this target by 2031. Increasing vaccination coverage has a small impact over this time horizon.
interpretationWith the implementation of HPV-based screening, cervical cancer can be eliminated in BC before 2040. Efforts to increase screening participation and follow-up through this transition could potentially accelerate this timeline, but the transition from cytology- to HPV-based screening is fundamental to achieving this goal.
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