Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38830680›Full record

ArticleCMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne2024

Strategies to accelerate the elimination of cervical cancer in British Columbia, Canada: a modelling study.

Reka E Pataky, Sara Izadi-Najafabadi, Laurie W Smith, Anna Gottschlich, Diana Ionescu, Lily Proctor, Gina S Ogilvie, Stuart Peacock

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Advances in cervical cancer: current insights and future directions.Cancer communications (London, England) · 2025
    Review
  3. Article
  4. To eliminate cervical cancer in Canada, nationwide funding of self-sampling for human papillomavirus is needed.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Reka E PatakyCancer Control Research (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi, Smith, Peacock), BC Cancer; Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi); Women's Health Research Institute (Smith, Ogilvie), BC Women's Hospital and Health Centre, Vancouver, BC; Karmanos Cancer Institute (Gottschlich), Wayne State University, Detroit Mich.; Faculty of Medicine (Ionescu, Proctor), University of British Columbia; Cervix Screening Program (Ionescu, Proctor), BC Cancer; School of Population and Public Health (Ogilvie), University of British Columbia; Faculty of Health Sciences (Peacock), Simon Fraser University, Vancouver, BC rpataky@bccrc.ca.
Sara Izadi-NajafabadiCancer Control Research (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi, Smith, Peacock), BC Cancer; Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi); Women's Health Research Institute (Smith, Ogilvie), BC Women's Hospital and Health Centre, Vancouver, BC; Karmanos Cancer Institute (Gottschlich), Wayne State University, Detroit Mich.; Faculty of Medicine (Ionescu, Proctor), University of British Columbia; Cervix Screening Program (Ionescu, Proctor), BC Cancer; School of Population and Public Health (Ogilvie), University of British Columbia; Faculty of Health Sciences (Peacock), Simon Fraser University, Vancouver, BC.
Laurie W SmithCancer Control Research (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi, Smith, Peacock), BC Cancer; Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi); Women's Health Research Institute (Smith, Ogilvie), BC Women's Hospital and Health Centre, Vancouver, BC; Karmanos Cancer Institute (Gottschlich), Wayne State University, Detroit Mich.; Faculty of Medicine (Ionescu, Proctor), University of British Columbia; Cervix Screening Program (Ionescu, Proctor), BC Cancer; School of Population and Public Health (Ogilvie), University of British Columbia; Faculty of Health Sciences (Peacock), Simon Fraser University, Vancouver, BC.
Anna GottschlichCancer Control Research (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi, Smith, Peacock), BC Cancer; Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi); Women's Health Research Institute (Smith, Ogilvie), BC Women's Hospital and Health Centre, Vancouver, BC; Karmanos Cancer Institute (Gottschlich), Wayne State University, Detroit Mich.; Faculty of Medicine (Ionescu, Proctor), University of British Columbia; Cervix Screening Program (Ionescu, Proctor), BC Cancer; School of Population and Public Health (Ogilvie), University of British Columbia; Faculty of Health Sciences (Peacock), Simon Fraser University, Vancouver, BC.
Diana IonescuCancer Control Research (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi, Smith, Peacock), BC Cancer; Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi); Women's Health Research Institute (Smith, Ogilvie), BC Women's Hospital and Health Centre, Vancouver, BC; Karmanos Cancer Institute (Gottschlich), Wayne State University, Detroit Mich.; Faculty of Medicine (Ionescu, Proctor), University of British Columbia; Cervix Screening Program (Ionescu, Proctor), BC Cancer; School of Population and Public Health (Ogilvie), University of British Columbia; Faculty of Health Sciences (Peacock), Simon Fraser University, Vancouver, BC.
Lily ProctorCancer Control Research (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi, Smith, Peacock), BC Cancer; Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi); Women's Health Research Institute (Smith, Ogilvie), BC Women's Hospital and Health Centre, Vancouver, BC; Karmanos Cancer Institute (Gottschlich), Wayne State University, Detroit Mich.; Faculty of Medicine (Ionescu, Proctor), University of British Columbia; Cervix Screening Program (Ionescu, Proctor), BC Cancer; School of Population and Public Health (Ogilvie), University of British Columbia; Faculty of Health Sciences (Peacock), Simon Fraser University, Vancouver, BC.
Gina S OgilvieCancer Control Research (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi, Smith, Peacock), BC Cancer; Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi); Women's Health Research Institute (Smith, Ogilvie), BC Women's Hospital and Health Centre, Vancouver, BC; Karmanos Cancer Institute (Gottschlich), Wayne State University, Detroit Mich.; Faculty of Medicine (Ionescu, Proctor), University of British Columbia; Cervix Screening Program (Ionescu, Proctor), BC Cancer; School of Population and Public Health (Ogilvie), University of British Columbia; Faculty of Health Sciences (Peacock), Simon Fraser University, Vancouver, BC.
Stuart PeacockCancer Control Research (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi, Smith, Peacock), BC Cancer; Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control (Pataky, Izadi-Najafabadi); Women's Health Research Institute (Smith, Ogilvie), BC Women's Hospital and Health Centre, Vancouver, BC; Karmanos Cancer Institute (Gottschlich), Wayne State University, Detroit Mich.; Faculty of Medicine (Ionescu, Proctor), University of British Columbia; Cervix Screening Program (Ionescu, Proctor), BC Cancer; School of Population and Public Health (Ogilvie), University of British Columbia; Faculty of Health Sciences (Peacock), Simon Fraser University, Vancouver, BC.

Funding

Addressing emerging health system priorities in cervical cancer prevention: determining optimal strategies for human papillomavirus test-based screening and triageR01CA221918 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA · PI OGILVIE, GINA · 2018 to 2022
$1.7M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA221918
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo eliminate cervical cancer in Canada by 2040, defined as an annual age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) lower than 4.0 per 100 000 women, the Canadian Partnership Against Cancer (CPAC) identified 3 priorities for action: increasing human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine coverage, implementing HPV-based screening and increasing screening participation, and improving follow-up after abnormal screen results. Our objective was to explore the impact of these priorities on the projected time to elimination of cervical cancer in British Columbia.

methodsWe used OncoSim-Cervical, a microsimulation model led and supported by CPAC and developed by Statistics Canada that simulates HPV transmission and the natural history of cervical cancer for the Canadian population. We updated model parameters to reflect BC's historical participation rates and program design. We simulated the transition to HPV-based screening and developed scenarios to explore the additional impact of achieving 90% vaccination coverage, 95% screening recruitment, 90% ontime screening, and 95% follow-up compliance. We projected cervical cancer incidence, ASIR, and year of elimination for the population of BC for 2023-2050.

resultsHPV-based screening at current vaccination, participation, and follow-up rates can eliminate cervical cancer by 2034. Increasing on-time screening and follow-up compliance could achieve this target by 2031. Increasing vaccination coverage has a small impact over this time horizon.

interpretationWith the implementation of HPV-based screening, cervical cancer can be eliminated in BC before 2040. Efforts to increase screening participation and follow-up through this transition could potentially accelerate this timeline, but the transition from cytology- to HPV-based screening is fundamental to achieving this goal.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerPapillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdultAgedBritish ColumbiaDisease EradicationFemaleHumansIncidenceMass ScreeningMiddle AgedYoung AdultPapillomavirus Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID38830680
PMCPMC11142038

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.