Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38828796›Full record

ArticleEmerging microbes & infections2024

Prediction models for COVID-19 disease outcomes.

Cynthia Y Tang, Cheng Gao, Kritika Prasai, Tao Li, Shreya Dash, Jane A McElroy, Jun Hang, Xiu-Feng Wan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Emerging microbes & infections, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Machine learning and probabilistic approaches for forecasting infectious disease transmission and cases.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Cynthia Y TangCenter for Influenza and Emerging Infectious Diseases, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA.
Cheng GaoCenter for Influenza and Emerging Infectious Diseases, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA.
Kritika PrasaiCenter for Influenza and Emerging Infectious Diseases, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA.
Tao LiViral Diseases Branch, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA.
Shreya DashCenter for Influenza and Emerging Infectious Diseases, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA.
Jane A McElroyFamily and Community Medicine, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA.
Jun HangViral Diseases Branch, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA.
Xiu-Feng WanCenter for Influenza and Emerging Infectious Diseases, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA.

Funding

Massive and Complex Data Analytics Pre-Doctoral Training in One HealthT32LM012410 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI-COLUMBIA · PI SHYU, CHI-REN · 2016 to 2020
$1.2M
Evolution, transmission, and clinical impacts of SARS-CoV-2 variants among urban and rural populationsF30AI172230 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI-COLUMBIA · PI TANG, CYNTHIA Y · 2022 to 2023
$65k
NIAID NIH HHS F30 AI172230NLM NIH HHS T32 LM012410
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

SARS-CoV-2 has caused over 6.9 million deaths and continues to produce lasting health consequences. COVID-19 manifests broadly from no symptoms to death. In a retrospective cross-sectional study, we developed personalized risk assessment models that predict clinical outcomes for individuals with COVID-19 and inform targeted interventions. We sequenced viruses from SARS-CoV-2-positive nasopharyngeal swab samples between July 2020 and July 2022 from 4450 individuals in Missouri and retrieved associated disease courses, clinical history, and urban-rural classification. We integrated this data to develop machine learning-based predictive models to predict hospitalization, ICU admission, and long COVID.The mean age was 38.3 years (standard deviation = 21.4) with 55.2% (

Indexed as

COVID-19HospitalizationSARS-CoV-2AdolescentAdultAgedCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedMissouriRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentYoung AdultCOVID-19 predictiondisease outcome predictionLong COVIDmachine learningpersonalized medicinepredictive model for COVID-19

Identifiers

PMID38828796
PMCPMC11182058

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.