Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38828432›Full record

ArticleOpen mind : discoveries in cognitive science2024

Instruction on the Scientific Method Provides (Some) Protection Against Illusions of Causality.

Julie Y L Chow, Micah B Goldwater, Ben Colagiuri, Evan J Livesey

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open mind : discoveries in cognitive science, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Individual differences in the evolution of causal illusions.British journal of psychology (London, England : 1953) · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Julie Y L ChowSchool of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney.
Micah B GoldwaterSchool of Psychology, The University of Sydney, Sydney.
Ben ColagiuriSchool of Psychology, The University of Sydney, Sydney.
Evan J LiveseySchool of Psychology, The University of Sydney, Sydney.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

People tend to overestimate the efficacy of an ineffective treatment when they experience the treatment and its supposed outcome co-occurring frequently. This is referred to as the

Indexed as

base-rate instructioncausal learningcontingency learningillusion of causalityoutcome density

Identifiers

PMID38828432
PMCPMC11142631

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.