ArticleNature ecology & evolution2024
Climate change may reveal currently unavailable parts of species' ecological niches.
Article in Nature ecology & evolution, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed.
- Range-wide Tsuga tree decline driven by abrupt climate changes in mid-Holocene America.The New phytologist · 2026Article
- Cenozoic losses of tree diversity constrain climatic adaptation of Western and Central European forests.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Thermophilization: Concepts, Methods, and Implications of Changes in Community Composition due to Global Warming.Global change biology · 2026Review
- Climate Change May Expand Geographic Distribution of Asian Butterflies Despite Climatic Niche Contraction.Insects · 2026Article
- Latitudinal Adaptive Strategies ofBiology · 2026Article
- Projecting future distribution of Glycyrrhiza uralensis under climate change: implications for conservation and sustainable management.BMC plant biology · 2026Article
- Global Patterns of Niche Changes in Alien Mammals: Potential Drivers and Significance for Invasion Projections.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Climate change drives a decline in global grazing systems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Unlocking natural history collections to improve eDNA reference databases and biodiversity monitoring.Bioscience · 2025Article
- Two Hypotheses About Climate Change and Species Distributions.Ecology letters · 2025Article
- Conceptual and ethical considerations in invasion science.Bioscience · 2025Article
- Integrative Analysis ofEcology and evolution · 2025Article
- Paleorecords Reveal Biological Mechanisms Crucial for Reliable Species Range Shift Projections Amid Rapid Climate Change.Ecology letters · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The ability of climatic niche models to predict species extinction risks can be hampered if niches are incompletely quantified. This can occur when niches are estimated considering only currently available climatic conditions, disregarding the fact that climate change can open up portions of the fundamental niche that are currently inaccessible to species. Using a new metric, we estimate the prevalence of potential situations of fundamental niche truncation by measuring whether current ecological niche limits are contiguous to the boundaries of currently available climatic conditions for 24,944 species at the global scale in both terrestrial and marine realms and including animals and plants. We show that 12,172 (~49%) species are showing niche contiguity, particularly those inhabiting tropical ecosystems and the marine realm. Using niche expansion scenarios, we find that 86% of species showing niche contiguity could have a fundamental niche potentially expanding beyond current climatic limits, resulting in lower-yet still alarming-rates of predicted biodiversity loss, particularly within the tropics. Caution is therefore advised when forecasting future distributions of species presenting niche contiguity, particularly towards climatic limits that are predicted to expand in the future.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.