Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38804600›Full record

ArticleHuman vaccines & immunotherapeutics2024

Public health impact of herpes zoster vaccination on older adults in Singapore: a modeling study.

Helen Oh, Carol Tan, Charles Williams, Nikolaos Giannelos, Cheryl Ng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. A fresh look at varicella vaccination.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2025
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Helen OhDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Changi General Hospital, Singapore, Singapore.
Carol TanThe Good Life Medical Centre, Geriatric Medicine, Mount Alvernia Hospital, Singapore, Singapore.
Charles WilliamsMedical Affairs, GSK, Wavre, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-2437-3675
Nikolaos GiannelosVEO Vaccines, GSK, Wavre, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-9130-4744
Cheryl NgVEO Greater China and Intercontinental, GSK, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-1707-2305

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In Singapore, population aging and rising life expectancy are increasing herpes zoster (HZ) burden, which may be reduced by vaccination. The present study modeled the public health impact of HZ vaccination in Singapore using ZOster ecoNomic Analysis (ZONA) model adapted with Singapore-specific key model inputs, where available. Base case analysis was conducted in adults ≥ 50 years of age (YOA), exploring three vaccination strategies (no vaccination, recombinant zoster vaccine [RZV], zoster vaccine live [ZVL]) under mass vaccination setting (30% coverage). Scenario and sensitivity analyses were performed. Out of 1.51 million adults in 2021 (base case population), 406,513 (27.0%) cases of HZ, 68,264 (4.5%) cases of post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN), and 54,949 (3.6%) cases of other complications were projected without vaccination. RZV was estimated to avoid 73,129 cases of HZ, 11,094 cases of PHN, and 9,205 cases of other complications over the subjects' remaining lifetime; ZVL would avoid 17,565 cases of HZ, 2,781 cases of PHN, and 1,834 cases of other complications. The number needed to vaccinate to prevent one case of HZ/PHN was lower for RZV (7/41) than ZVL (26/163). Among all five age-stratified cohorts (50-59/60-64/65-69/70-79/≥80 YOA), RZV (versus no vaccination/ZVL) avoided the largest number of cases in the youngest cohort, 50-59 YOA. Results were robust under scenario and sensitivity analyses. Mass vaccination with RZV is expected to greatly reduce the public health burden of HZ among Singapore individuals ≥ 50 YOA. Findings support value assessment and decision-making regarding public health vaccination strategies for HZ prevention in Singapore.

Indexed as

Herpes ZosterHerpes Zoster VaccinePublic HealthAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMass VaccinationMiddle AgedNeuralgia, PostherpeticSingaporeVaccinationHerpes Zoster VaccineAging populationAsia-pacificherpes zostermass vaccinationolder adultspost-herpetic neuralgiapublic health impactrecombinant zoster vaccineSingaporevaccination

Identifiers

PMID38804600
PMCPMC11135959

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.