Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38802769›Full record

ArticleBMC neurology2024

Predicting who has delayed cerebral ischemia after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage using machine learning approach: a multicenter, retrospective cohort study.

Sihan Ge, Junxin Chen, Wei Wang, Li-Bo Zhang, Yue Teng, Cheng Yang, Hao Wang, Yihao Tao, Zhi Chen, Ronghao Li and 3 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC neurology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. A Composite Model - "VASS-DCI" - for Delayed Cerebral Ischemia Following Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Role of VASOGRADE and Inflammatory Biomarkers.Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Sihan GeCollege of Medicine and Biological Information Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang, China.
Junxin ChenSchool of Software, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, China.
Wei WangGuangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Joint Laboratory for Emotion Intelligence and Pervasive Computing, Artificial Intelligence Research Institute, Shenzhen MSU-BIT University, Shenzhen, China.
Li-Bo ZhangDepartment of Radiology, General Hospital of the Northern Theater of the Chinese People's Liberation Army, Shenyang, China.
Yue TengEmergency Department, General Hospital of the Northern Theater of the Chinese People's Liberation Army, Shenyang, China.
Cheng YangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Southwest Hospital, Army Medical University, (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China.
Hao WangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Daping Hospital, Army Medical University, (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China.
Yihao TaoDepartment of Neurosurgery, the Second Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Zhi ChenDepartment of Neurosurgery, Southwest Hospital, Army Medical University, (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China.
Ronghao LiDepartment of Basic Medicine, Army Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Yin NiuDepartment of Neurosurgery, Southwest Hospital, Army Medical University, (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China. niuyin-ns@hotmail.com.
Chenghai ZuoDepartment of Neurosurgery, Southwest Hospital, Army Medical University, (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China. zuochenghai40@gmail.com.
Liang TanDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Southwest Hospital, Army Medical University, (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China. tracy200712@hotmail.com.

Funding

Science-Health Joint Medical Scientific Research Project of Chongqing 2022QNXM27
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEarly prediction of delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) is critical to improving the prognosis of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Machine learning (ML) algorithms can learn from intricate information unbiasedly and facilitate the early identification of clinical outcomes. This study aimed to construct and compare the ability of different ML models to predict DCI after aSAH. Then, we identified and analyzed the essential risk of DCI occurrence by preoperative clinical scores and postoperative laboratory test results.

methodsThis was a multicenter, retrospective cohort study. A total of 1039 post-operation patients with aSAH were finally included from three hospitals in China. The training group contained 919 patients, and the test group comprised 120 patients. We used five popular machine-learning algorithms to construct the models. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and f1 score were used to evaluate and compare the five models. Finally, we performed a Shapley Additive exPlanations analysis for the model with the best performance and significance analysis for each feature.

resultsA total of 239 patients with aSAH (23.003%) developed DCI after the operation. Our results showed that in the test cohort, Random Forest (RF) had an AUC of 0.79, which was better than other models. The five most important features for predicting DCI in the RF model were the admitted modified Rankin Scale, D-Dimer, intracranial parenchymal hematoma, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, and Fisher score. Interestingly, clamping or embolization for the aneurysm treatment was the fourth button-down risk factor in the ML model.

conclusionsIn this multicenter study, we compared five ML methods, among which RF performed the best in DCI prediction. In addition, the essential risks were identified to help clinicians monitor the patients at high risk for DCI more precisely and facilitate timely intervention.

Indexed as

Brain IschemiaMachine LearningSubarachnoid HemorrhageAdultAgedChinaCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesAneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhageDelayed cerebral ischemiaMachine learningPredictionRandom forest

Identifiers

PMID38802769
PMCPMC11129362

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.