ArticleClinical interventions in aging2024
External Validation of the International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool in Older Adult Patients.
Article in Clinical interventions in aging, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Clinicopathological characteristics and renal outcomes of IgA nephropathy in systemic lupus erythematosus: a case report and systematic literature review.BMC nephrology · 2026Pooled it
- Prognostic Stratification in Primary Glomerulonephritis: Integrating Histology, Biomarkers, and Risk Prediction Models.Life (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Review
- Validation of 2 Prognostic Models to Predict Renal Allograft Outcome After IgA Nephropathy Recurrence.Kidney international reports · 2025Article
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Authors and funding
13 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Purpose: The International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool (IIgAN-PT) can predict the risk of End-stage renal disease (ESRD) or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline ≥ 50% for adult IgAN patients. Considering the differential progression between older adult and adult patients, this study aims to externally validate its performance in the older adult cohort. Patients and Methods: We analyzed 165 IgAN patients aged 60 and above from six medical centers, categorizing them by their predicted risk. The primary outcome was a ≥50% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or kidney failure. Evaluation of both models involved concordance statistics (C-statistics), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and calibration plots. Comparative reclassification was conducted using net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Results: The study included 165 Chinese patients (median age 64, 60% male), with a median follow-up of 5.1 years. Of these, 21% reached the primary outcome. Both models with or without race demonstrated good discrimination (C-statistics 0.788 and 0.790, respectively). Survival curves for risk groups were well-separated. The full model without race more accurately predicted 5-year risks, whereas the full model with race tended to overestimate risks after 3 years. No significant reclassification improvement was noted in the full model without race (NRI 0.09, 95% CI: -0.27 to 0.34; IDI 0.003, 95% CI: -0.009 to 0.019). Conclusion: : Both models exhibited excellent discrimination among older adult IgAN patients. The full model without race demonstrated superior calibration in predicting the 5-year risk.
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