Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38795778›Full record

ArticleJournal of affective disorders2024

Temporal prediction of suicidal ideation in an ecological momentary assessment study with recurrent neural networks.

Tse-Hwei Choo, Melanie Wall, Beth S Brodsky, Sarah Herzog, J John Mann, Barbara Stanley, Hanga Galfalvy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of affective disorders, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Using smartphone surveys to predict next-week suicide attempts.Journal of psychopathology and clinical science · 2026
    Article
  5. Predicting Next-Day Passive Suicidal Ideation in At-Risk Youth.Suicide & life-threatening behavior · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Tse-Hwei ChooMental Health Data Science Division, New York State Psychiatric Institute, New York, NY, United States of America; Department of Biostatistics, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States of America. Electronic address: tse.hwei@nyspi.columbia.edu.
Melanie WallMental Health Data Science Division, New York State Psychiatric Institute, New York, NY, United States of America; Department of Biostatistics, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States of America; Department of Psychiatry, Columbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY, United States of America.
Beth S BrodskyDepartment of Psychiatry, Columbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY, United States of America; Molecular Imaging and Neuropathology Division, New York State Psychiatric Institute, New York, NY, United States of America.
Sarah HerzogDepartment of Psychiatry, Columbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY, United States of America; Molecular Imaging and Neuropathology Division, New York State Psychiatric Institute, New York, NY, United States of America.
J John MannDepartment of Psychiatry, Columbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY, United States of America; Molecular Imaging and Neuropathology Division, New York State Psychiatric Institute, New York, NY, United States of America.
Barbara StanleyDepartment of Psychiatry, Columbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY, United States of America; Molecular Imaging and Neuropathology Division, New York State Psychiatric Institute, New York, NY, United States of America.
Hanga GalfalvyMental Health Data Science Division, New York State Psychiatric Institute, New York, NY, United States of America; Department of Biostatistics, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States of America; Department of Psychiatry, Columbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY, United States of America.

Funding

TREATING SUICIDAL BEHAVIOR AND SELF MUTILATION IN BPDR01MH061017 · NIMH · NEW YORK STATE PSYCHIATRIC INSTITUTE DBA RESEARCH FOUNDATION FOR MENTAL HYGIENE, INC · PI STANLEY, BARBARA · 2000 to 2012
$7.0M
Prospective Study of Suicidal Behavior in BPDR01MH062665 · NIMH · NEW YORK STATE PSYCHIATRIC INSTITUTE DBA RESEARCH FOUNDATION FOR MENTAL HYGIENE, INC · PI STANLEY, BARBARA · 2002 to 2006
$1.5M
NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH061017NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH062665
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionEcological Momentary Assessment (EMA) holds promise for providing insights into daily life experiences when studying mental health phenomena. However, commonly used mixed-effects linear statistical models do not fully utilize the richness of the ultidimensional time-varying data that EMA yields. Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) provide an alternative data analytic method to leverage more information and potentially improve prediction, particularly for non-normally distributed outcomes.

methodsAs part of a broader research study of suicidal thoughts and behavior in people with borderline personality disorder (BPD), eighty-four participants engaged in EMA data collection over one week, answering questions multiple times each day about suicidal ideation (SI), stressful events, coping strategy use, and affect. RNNs and mixed-effects linear regression models (MEMs) were trained and used to predict SI. Root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute percent error (MAPE), and a pseudo-R

resultsRNNs had superior accuracy metrics (full model: RMSE = 3.41, MAPE = 42 %, pseudo-R

conclusionIn this EMA study with a moderately sized sample, RNNs were better able to learn and predict daily SI compared with mixed-effects models. RNNs should be considered as an option for EMA analysis.

Indexed as

Borderline Personality DisorderEcological Momentary AssessmentNeural Networks, ComputerSuicidal IdeationAdaptation, PsychologicalAdultFemaleHumansLinear ModelsMaleYoung AdultBorderline personality disorderEcological momentary assessmentMachine learningPredictionRecurrent neural networksSuicidal ideation

Identifiers

PMID38795778
PMCPMC11296397

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.