Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38789510›Full record

ArticleNPJ digital medicine2024

A digital twin model incorporating generalized metabolic fluxes to identify and predict chronic kidney disease in type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Naveenah Udaya Surian, Arsen Batagov, Andrew Wu, Wen Bin Lai, Yan Sun, Yong Mong Bee, Rinkoo Dalan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ digital medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed.

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  8. The Potential of Digital Twins for Pediatric Rare Diseases.CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Naveenah Udaya SurianMesh Bio Pte. Ltd., 10 Anson Rd, #22-02, 079903, Singapore, Singapore.
Arsen BatagovMesh Bio Pte. Ltd., 10 Anson Rd, #22-02, 079903, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9620-079X
Andrew WuMesh Bio Pte. Ltd., 10 Anson Rd, #22-02, 079903, Singapore, Singapore.
Wen Bin LaiMesh Bio Pte. Ltd., 10 Anson Rd, #22-02, 079903, Singapore, Singapore.
Yan SunHealth Services and Outcomes Research, National Healthcare Group, 3 Fusionopolis Link, #03-08, 138543, Singapore, Singapore.
Yong Mong BeeDepartment of Endocrinology, Singapore General Hospital, Outram Road, 169608, Singapore, Singapore. bee.yong.mong@singhealth.com.sg.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5482-2646
Rinkoo DalanDepartment of Endocrinology, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, 11 Jalan Tan Tock Seng, 308433, Singapore, Singapore. rinkoo_dalan@ttsh.com.sg.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9769-2696

Funding

A*STAR | Singapore Institute of Manufacturing Technology (Singapore Institute of Manufacturing Technology - A STAR) H19/01/a0/023MOH | National Medical Research Council (NMRC) MOH-000014
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We have developed a digital twin-based CKD identification and prediction model that leverages generalized metabolic fluxes (GMF) for patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM). GMF digital twins utilized basic clinical and physiological biomarkers as inputs for identification and prediction of CKD. We employed four diverse multi-ethnic cohorts (n = 7072): a Singaporean cohort (EVAS, n = 289) and a North American cohort (NHANES, n = 1044) for baseline CKD identification, and two multi-center Singaporean cohorts (CDMD, n = 2119 and SDR, n = 3627) for 3-year CKD prediction and risk stratification. We subsequently conducted a comprehensive study utilizing a single dataset to evaluate the clinical utility of GMF for CKD prediction. The GMF-based identification model performed strongly, achieving an AUC between 0.80 and 0.82. In prediction, the GMF generated with complete parameters attained high performance with an AUC of 0.86, while with incomplete parameters, it achieved an AUC of 0.75. The GMF-based prediction model utilizing complete inputs is the standard implementation of our algorithm: HealthVector Diabetes®. We have established the GMF digital twin-based model as a robust clinical tool capable of predicting and stratifying the risk of future CKD within a 3-year time horizon. We report the correlation of GMF with basic input parameters, their ability to differentiate between future health states and medication status at baseline, and their capability to quantify CKD progression rates. This holistic methodology provides insights into patients' health states and CKD progression rates based on GMF metabolic profile differences, enabling personalized care plans.

Identifiers

PMID38789510
PMCPMC11126707

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.