Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38789451›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

The clinical and economic costs associated with regional disparities in varicella vaccine coverage in Italy over 50 years (2020-2070).

J C Lang, S Samant, J R Cook, S Ranjan, F Senese, S Starnino, S Giuffrida, C Azzari, V Baldo, M Pawaskar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

J C LangBiostatistics and Research Decision Sciences (BARDS) Health Economic and Decision Sciences (HEDS), Merck Canada Inc, Kirkland, QC, Canada. john.lang@merck.com.ORCID 0000-0002-1770-2995
S SamantCenter for Observational and Real-World Evidence, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA.
J R CookCHEORS, North Wales, PA, USA.
S RanjanCHEORS, North Wales, PA, USA.
F SeneseMarket Access, MSD Italy, Rome, Italy.
S StarninoMedical Affairs, MSD Italy, Rome, Italy.
S GiuffridaLHU Reggio Calabria, Calabria, Italy.
C AzzariDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Florence, and Meyer Children's University Hospital, Florence, Italy.
V BaldoDepartment of Cardiac Thoracic Vascular Sciences, Hygiene and Public Health Unit, and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
M PawaskarCenter for Observational and Real-World Evidence, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Italy implemented two-dose universal varicella vaccination (UVV) regionally from 2003 to 2013 and nationally from 2017 onwards. Our objective was to analyze regional disparities in varicella outcomes resulting from disparities in vaccine coverage rates (VCRs) projected over a 50-year time-horizon (2020-2070). A previously published dynamic transmission model was updated to quantify the potential public health impact of the UVV program in Italy at the national and regional levels. Four 2-dose vaccine strategies utilizing monovalent (V) and quadrivalent (MMRV) vaccines were evaluated for each region: (A) MMRV-MSD/MMRV-MSD, (B) MMRV-GSK/MMRV-GSK, (C) V-MSD/MMRV-MSD, and (D) V-GSK/MMRV-GSK. Costs were reported in 2022 Euros. Costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were discounted 3% annually. Under strategy A, the three regions with the lowest first-dose VCR reported increased varicella cases (+ 34.3%), hospitalizations (+ 20.0%), QALYs lost (+ 5.9%), payer costs (+ 22.2%), and societal costs (+ 14.6%) over the 50-year time-horizon compared to the three regions with highest first-dose VCR. Regions with low first-dose VCR were more sensitive to changes in VCR than high first-dose VCR regions. Results with respect to second-dose VCR were qualitatively similar, although smaller in magnitude. Results were similar across all vaccine strategies.

Indexed as

ChickenpoxChickenpox VaccineAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHealth Care CostsHospitalizationHumansImmunization ProgramsInfantItalyMaleQuality-Adjusted Life YearsVaccinationVaccination CoverageChickenpox Vaccine

Identifiers

PMID38789451
PMCPMC11126631

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.