ArticleNature communications2024
Integrated assessment modeling of a zero-emissions global transportation sector.
Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed.
- Increasing the adoption of electric vehicles may exacerbate carbon emissions from power plants in China.iScience · 2026Article
- National-level assessment of infrastructure-coupled roadside solar energy toward transportation decarbonization in China.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Challenges and opportunities of the full phase-out of fossil fuels under the 1.5 °C goal.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Bridging China's Climate Targets and Mitigation Capacity through Sectoral Policy Implementation.Environmental science & technology · 2026Article
- High-ambition climate action in all sectors can achieve a 59% greenhouse gas emissions reduction in Korea by 2035.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Spatiotemporal evolution and spatial differentiation of carbon emission intensity in the Chinese transport sector.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Co-Location of Cellulosic Bioethanol and Alcohol-to-Jet (ATJ) Production Facilities for Targeted Scale-Up of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Production.Environmental science & technology · 2026Article
- Material and carbon implications of future mobility infrastructure expansion around the world.Journal of industrial ecology · 2026Article
- Comparative analysis of public and expert perceptions of electrified vehicles in the European Union.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Integrated assessment modeling of a zero-emissions global transportation sector.Nature communications · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Currently responsible for over one fifth of carbon emissions worldwide, the transportation sector will need to undergo a substantial technological transition to ensure compatibility with global climate goals. Few studies have modeled strategies to achieve zero emissions across all transportation modes, including aviation and shipping, alongside an integrated analysis of feedbacks on other sectors and environmental systems. Here, we use a global integrated assessment model to evaluate deep decarbonization scenarios for the transportation sector consistent with maintaining end-of-century warming below 1.5 °C, considering varied timelines for fossil fuel phase-out and implementation of advanced alternative technologies. We highlight the leading low carbon technologies for each transportation mode, finding that electrification contributes most to decarbonization across the sector. Biofuels and hydrogen are particularly important for aviation and shipping. Our most ambitious scenario eliminates transportation emissions by mid-century, contributing substantially to achieving climate targets but requiring rapid technological shifts with integrated impacts on fuel demands and availability and upstream energy transitions.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.