Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38785092›Full record

Observational studyEuro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin2024

Factors potentially contributing to the decline of the mpox outbreak in the Netherlands, 2022 and 2023.

Manon R Haverkate, Inge Jm Willemstein, Catharina E van Ewijk, Philippe Cg Adam, Susan J Lanooij, Petra Jonker-Jorna, Colette van Bokhoven, Gini Gc van Rijckevorsel, Elske Hoornenborg, Silke David and 7 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. From neglected to notoriety: a review of Mpox clinical features, virology, epidemiology, treatment and prevention strategies.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2025
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Relationship dynamics and behavioral adaptations in the control of the 2022 mpox epidemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Current advances and challenges in mpox vaccine development: a global landscape.Therapeutic advances in vaccines and immunotherapy · 2025
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Continued circulation of mpox: an epidemiological and phylogenetic assessment, European Region, 2023 to 2024.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Manon R HaverkateNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Inge Jm WillemsteinNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Catharina E van EwijkNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Philippe Cg AdamInstitute for Prevention and Social Research, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Susan J LanooijNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Petra Jonker-JornaPublic Health Service Hollands Noorden, Alkmaar, the Netherlands.
Colette van BokhovenPublic Health Service Gelderland-Zuid, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.
Gini Gc van RijckevorselNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Elske HoornenborgPublic Health Service Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Silke DavidNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Liesbeth MollemaNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Margreet J Te WierikNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Jente LangeNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Eelco FranzNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Hester E de MelkerNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Eline Lm Op de CoulNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Susan Jm HahnéNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BackgroundIn 2022 and 2023, a global outbreak of mpox affected mostly gay, bisexual and other men having sex with men (GBMSM). Outbreak control in the Netherlands included isolation, quarantine, post-exposure prophylaxis vaccination and primary preventive vaccination (PPV).AimWe describe the course of the outbreak, the vaccination programme, vaccine effectiveness (VE) of full vaccination against symptomatic disease, and trends in behaviour to generate hypotheses about factors that influenced the outbreak's decline.MethodsIn this observational study, we collected data from public health services on notified cases, number of PPV invitations and PPV doses administered. We calculated PPV uptake and coverage. Trends in behavioural data of GBMSM visiting sexual health centres were analysed for all consultations in 2022. We estimated VE using the screening method.ResultsUntil 31 December 2023, 1,294 mpox cases were reported. The outbreak peaked in early July 2022 and then declined sharply. PPV started on 25 July 2022; in total 29,851 doses were administered, 45.8% received at least one dose, 35.4% were fully vaccinated. The estimated VE was 68.2% (95% CI 4.3-89.5%). We did not observe an evident decrease in high-risk behaviour.DiscussionIt is unlikely that PPV was a driver of the outbreak's decline, as incidence started to decline well before the start of the PPV programme. The possible impact of behavioural change could not be demonstrated with the available indicators, however, the data had limitations, hampering interpretation. We hypothesise that infection-induced immunity in high-risk groups was an important factor explaining the decline.

Indexed as

Disease OutbreaksHomosexuality, MaleVaccinationAdolescentAdultFemaleHumansImmunization ProgramsMaleMiddle AgedMpox, MonkeypoxNetherlandsPost-Exposure ProphylaxisQuarantineSexual and Gender MinoritiesSexual Behaviorbehaviourdisease outbreaksmonkeypoxmpoxprimary preventive vaccinationrisk groupssexually transmitted infections

Identifiers

PMID38785092
PMCPMC11128738

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.