Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38783245›Full record

ArticleBMC pulmonary medicine2024

Machine learning classifier is associated with mortality in interstitial lung disease: a retrospective validation study leveraging registry data.

Kavitha C Selvan, Joshua Reicher, Michael Muelly, Angad Kalra, Ayodeji Adegunsoye

Abstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC pulmonary medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. A systematic review of the role of quantitative CT in the prognostication and disease monitoring of interstitial lung disease.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Radiomics and Artificial Intelligence in Pulmonary Fibrosis.Journal of imaging informatics in medicine · 2025
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Kavitha C SelvanSection of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Chicago Medicine, 5841 S Maryland Avenue, Chicago, IL, 60637, USA. kavitha.selvan@uchicagomedicine.org.
Joshua ReicherDepartment of Radiology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Michael MuellyDepartment of Radiology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Angad KalraIMVARIA Inc, 2390 Domingo Ave. #1496, Berkley, CA, 94705, USA.
Ayodeji AdegunsoyeSection of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Chicago Medicine, 5841 S Maryland Avenue, Chicago, IL, 60637, USA.

Funding

RESEARCH TRAINING IN RESPIRATORY BIOLOGYT32HL007605 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI Yun Fang, Gokhan M. Mutlu · 1985 to 2026
$18.1M
Improving Pulmonary Fibrosis Classification with Genomics Informed Phenotypic ClustersK23HL146942 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI ADEGUNSOYE, AYODEJI · 2020 to 2024
$810k
NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL146942NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007605NHLBI NIH HHS T32HL007605NIH HHS K23HL146942
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMortality prediction in interstitial lung disease (ILD) poses a significant challenge to clinicians due to heterogeneity across disease subtypes. Currently, forced vital capacity (FVC) and Gender, Age, and Physiology (GAP) score are the two most utilized metrics in prognostication. Recently, a machine learning classifier system, Fibresolve, designed to identify a variety of computed tomography (CT) patterns associated with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), was demonstrated to have a significant association with mortality across multiple subtypes of ILD. The purpose of this follow-up study was to retrospectively validate these findings in a large, external cohort of patients with ILD.

methodsIn this multi-center validation study, Fibresolve was applied to chest CT scans of patients with confirmed ILD that had available follow-up data. Fibresolve scores categorized by tertile were analyzed using Cox regression analysis adjusted for tobacco use and modified GAP (mGAP) score.

resultsOf 643 patients included, 446 (69.3%) died over a median follow-up time of 144 [1-821] weeks. The median [range] mGAP score was 5 [3-7]. In multivariable analysis, Fibresolve score categorized by tertile was significantly associated with mortality (Tertile 2 HR 1.47, 95% CI 0.82-2.37, p = 0.11; Tertile 3 HR 3.12, 95% CI 1.98-4.90, p < 0.001). Subgroup analyses revealed significant associations amongst those with non-IPF ILDs (Tertile 2 HR 1.95, 95% CI 1.28-2.97, Tertile 3 HR 4.66, 95% CI 2.94-7.38) and severe disease, defined by a FVC ≤ 75% (Tertile 2 HR 2.29, 95% CI 1.43-3.67, Tertile 3 HR 4.80, 95% CI 2.93-7.86).

conclusionsFibresolve is independently associated with mortality in ILD, particularly amongst patients with non-IPF ILDs and in those with severe disease.

Indexed as

Lung Diseases, InterstitialMachine LearningRegistriesTomography, X-Ray ComputedAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIdiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsRetrospective StudiesVital CapacityInterstitial lung diseaseMachine learningMortality

Identifiers

PMID38783245
PMCPMC11112769

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.