ArticleEmerging infectious diseases2024
Incubation Period and Serial Interval of Mpox in 2022 Global Outbreak Compared with Historical Estimates.
Article in Emerging infectious diseases, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Consolidating Estimates of the Incubation Period for Omicron Subvariants From the Literature and Their Comparison to the Estimate From Taiwan: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, September 2024.Influenza and other respiratory viruses · 2025Pooled it
- A three-generation mpox cluster in Chongqing, 2024: transmission chain investigation and phylogenetic characterization.Infection · 2026Article
- Mpox emergence, epidemiology, biology, clinical features and control.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2026Review
- Extensive cryptic circulation sustains mpox among men who have sex with men.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Viral introductions and return to baseline sexual behaviors maintain low-level mpox incidence in Los Angeles.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Dynamic shift in the dominant transmission route of clade Ib monkeypox virus across networks with sexual and nonsexual contacts.Science advances · 2026Article
- Preventing Disease Emergence Following Eradication: Application to Mpox.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026Article
- Epidemiological characteristics of monkeypox virus Clade Ib in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Mathematical modelling and time series clustering of Mpox outbreak: A comparative study of the top 10 affected countries and implications for future outbreak management.Global epidemiology · 2025Article
- Global transmission characteristics of mpox outbreaks: a systematic review and meta-analysis.EClinicalMedicine · 2025Article
- Phylodynamic inference suggests introductions as main driver of Mpox Clade II outbreak in 2022 in Slovenia.Epidemiology and infection · 2025Article
- Relationship dynamics and behavioral adaptations in the control of the 2022 mpox epidemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Evaluating the effectiveness of international travel controls to identify MPXV-infected travelers: a simulation study.BMC medicine · 2025Article
- On the importance of communication, advocacy, and information accuracy in destigmatizing mpox disease.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Viral introductions and return to baseline sexual behaviors maintain low-level mpox incidence in Los Angeles County, USA, 2023-2024.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025Article
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Understanding changes in the transmission dynamics of mpox requires comparing recent estimates of key epidemiologic parameters with historical data. We derived historical estimates for the incubation period and serial interval for mpox and contrasted them with pooled estimates from the 2022 outbreak. Our findings show the pooled mean infection-to-onset incubation period was 8.1 days for the 2022 outbreak and 8.2 days historically, indicating the incubation periods remained relatively consistent over time, despite a shift in the major mode of transmission. However, we estimated the onset-to-onset serial interval at 8.7 days using 2022 data, compared with 14.2 days using historical data. Although the reason for this shortening of the serial interval is unclear, it may be because of increased public health interventions or a shift in the mode of transmission. Recognizing such temporal shifts is essential for informed response strategies, and public health measures remain crucial for controlling mpox and similar future outbreaks.
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