Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38773687›Full record

ArticleCancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology2024

Evidence of Decreased Long-term Risk of Cervical Precancer after Negative Primary HPV Screens Compared with Negative Cytology Screens in a Longitudinal Cohort Study.

Anna Gottschlich, Quan Hong, Lovedeep Gondara, Md S Alam, Darrel A Cook, Ruth E Martin, Marette Lee, Joy Melnikow, Stuart Peacock, Lily Proctor and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Promise and Perils of Primary HPV Testing.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Anna GottschlichWomen's Health Research Institute, BC Women's Hospital and Health Services, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-3095-2323
Quan HongWomen's Health Research Institute, BC Women's Hospital and Health Services, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-2534-3897
Lovedeep GondaraBritish Columbia Cervix Screening Program, BC Cancer, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-0287-9672
Md S AlamWomen's Health Research Institute, BC Women's Hospital and Health Services, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-5119-2394
Darrel A CookBritish Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-1958-120X
Ruth E MartinFaculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-7592-3692
Marette LeeBritish Columbia Cervix Screening Program, BC Cancer, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5771-1899
Joy MelnikowCenter for Healthcare Policy and Research, University of California Davis, Sacramento, California.ORCID 0000-0002-9963-6089
Stuart PeacockCancer Control Research, BC Cancer, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-8243-8721
Lily ProctorWomen's Health Research Institute, BC Women's Hospital and Health Services, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-0264-4793
Gavin StuartFaculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-8815-4607
Eduardo L FrancoDivision of Cancer Epidemiology, McGill University, Montreal, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-4409-8084
Mel KrajdenFaculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-3477-8748
Laurie W SmithWomen's Health Research Institute, BC Women's Hospital and Health Services, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-9463-1713
Gina S OgilvieWomen's Health Research Institute, BC Women's Hospital and Health Services, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5783-4493

Funding

Addressing emerging health system priorities in cervical cancer prevention: determining optimal strategies for human papillomavirus test-based screening and triageR01CA221918 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA · PI OGILVIE, GINA · 2018 to 2022
$1.7M
Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR) MCT82072Michael Smith Health Research BC (MSFHR) RT-2021-1595NCI NIH HHS R01 CA221918
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe growing use of primary human papillomavirus (HPV) cervical cancer screening requires determining appropriate screening intervals to avoid overtreatment of transient disease. This study examined the long-term risk of cervical precancer after HPV screening to inform screening interval recommendations.

methodsThis longitudinal cohort study (British Columbia, Canada, 2008 to 2022) recruited women and individuals with a cervix who received 1 to 2 negative HPV screens (HPV1 cohort, N = 5,546; HPV2 cohort, N = 6,624) during a randomized trial and women and individuals with a cervix with 1 to 2 normal cytology results (BCS1 cohort, N = 782,297; BCS2 cohort, N = 673,778) extracted from the provincial screening registry. All participants were followed through the registry for 14 years. Long-term risk of cervical precancer or worse [cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+)] was compared between HPV and cytology cohorts.

resultsCumulative risks of CIN2+ were 3.2/1,000 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.6-4.7] in HPV1 and 2.7/1,000 (95% CI, 1.2-4.2) in HPV2 after 8 years. This was comparable with the risk in the cytology cohorts after 3 years [BCS1: 3.3/1,000 (95% CI, 3.1-3.4); BCS2: 2.5/1,000 (95% CI, 2.4-2.6)]. The cumulative risk of CIN2+ after 10 years was low in the HPV cohorts [HPV1: 4.7/1,000 (95% CI, 2.6-6.7); HPV2: 3.9 (95% CI, 1.1-6.6)].

conclusionsRisk of CIN2+ 8 years after a negative screen in the HPV cohorts was comparable with risk after 3 years in the cytology cohorts (the benchmark for acceptable risk). IMPACT: These findings suggest that primary HPV screening intervals could be extended beyond the current 5-year recommendation, potentially reducing barriers to screening.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerPapillomavirus InfectionsUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdultBritish ColumbiaCytodiagnosisFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMiddle AgedPapillomaviridaePrecancerous ConditionsUterine Cervical DysplasiaVaginal Smears

Identifiers

PMID38773687
PMCPMC11216858

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.