Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38773573›Full record

ArticleLipids in health and disease2024

Lipoproteins and metabolites in diagnosing and predicting Alzheimer's disease using machine learning.

Fenglin Wang, Aimin Wang, Yiming Huang, Wenfeng Gao, Yaqi Xu, Wenjing Zhang, Guiya Guo, Wangchen Song, Yujia Kong, Qinghua Wang and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lipids in health and disease, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Fenglin Wang *Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261053, China.
Aimin Wang *Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261053, China.
Yiming Huang *Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261053, China.
Wenfeng Gao *Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Affiliated Hospital of Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261031, China.
Yaqi XuDepartment of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261053, China.
Wenjing ZhangDepartment of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261053, China.
Guiya GuoDepartment of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261053, China.
Wangchen SongDepartment of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261053, China.
Yujia KongDepartment of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261053, China.
Qinghua WangDepartment of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261053, China.
Suzhen Wang *Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261053, China. wangsz@sdsmu.edu.cn.
Fuyan Shi *Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261053, China. shifuyan@sdsmu.edu.cn.

Funding

Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation (No. ZR2023MH313)Shandong Provincial Youth Innovation Team Development Plan of Colleges and Universities (No. 2019-6-156, Lu-Jiao)the National Natural Science Foundation of China 81803337the National Natural Science Foundation of China 81872719the National Natural Science Foundation of China 82003560
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlzheimer's disease (AD) is a chronic neurodegenerative disorder that poses a substantial economic burden. The Random forest algorithm is effective in predicting AD; however, the key factors influencing AD onset remain unclear. This study aimed to analyze the key lipoprotein and metabolite factors influencing AD onset using machine-learning methods. It provides new insights for researchers and medical personnel to understand AD and provides a reference for the early diagnosis, treatment, and early prevention of AD.

methodsA total of 603 participants, including controls and patients with AD with complete lipoprotein and metabolite data from the Alzheimer's disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database between 2005 and 2016, were enrolled. Random forest, Lasso regression, and CatBoost algorithms were employed to rank and filter 213 lipoprotein and metabolite variables. Variables with consistently high importance rankings from any two methods were incorporated into the models. Finally, the variables selected from the three methods, with the participants' age, sex, and marital status, were used to construct a random forest predictive model.

resultsFourteen lipoprotein and metabolite variables were screened using the three methods, and 17 variables were included in the AD prediction model based on age, sex, and marital status of the participants. The optimal random forest modeling was constructed with "mtry" set to 3 and "ntree" set to 300. The model exhibited an accuracy of 71.01%, a sensitivity of 79.59%, a specificity of 65.28%, and an AUC (95%CI) of 0.724 (0.645-0.804). When Mean Decrease Accuracy and Gini were used to rank the proteins, age, phospholipids to total lipids ratio in intermediate-density lipoproteins (IDL_PL_PCT), and creatinine were among the top five variables.

conclusionsAge, IDL_PL_PCT, and creatinine levels play crucial roles in AD onset. Regular monitoring of lipoproteins and their metabolites in older individuals is significant for early AD diagnosis and prevention.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseLipoproteinsMachine LearningAgedAged, 80 and overAlgorithmsBiomarkersFemaleHumansMaleBiomarkersLipoproteinsAlzheimer’s diseaseCatBoost algorithmLasso regressionRandom forest

Identifiers

PMID38773573
PMCPMC11107010

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.