Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38771892›Full record

ArticlePloS one2024

A simplified pneumonia severity index (PSI) for clinical outcome prediction in COVID-19.

Shu-Ching Chang, Gary L Grunkemeier, Jason D Goldman, Mansen Wang, Paul A McKelvey, Jennifer Hadlock, Qi Wei, George A Diaz

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Risk model derivation and clinical outcomes in COVID-19 pneumonia patients discharged from the emergency department.Revista espanola de quimioterapia : publicacion oficial de la Sociedad Espanola de Quimioterapia · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Shu-Ching ChangProvidence St. Joseph Health, Portland, Oregon, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-6534-0124
Gary L GrunkemeierDivision of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, OR, United States of America.
Jason D GoldmanDivision of Infectious Diseases, Swedish Medical Center, Seattle, WA, United States of America.
Mansen WangClinChoice, Portland, OR, United States of America.
Paul A McKelveyProvidence Heart Institute, Providence St. Joseph Health, Portland, Oregon, United States of America.
Jennifer HadlockInstitute for Systems Biology, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-6103-7606
Qi WeiInstitute for Systems Biology, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
George A DiazDivision of Medicine, Section of Infectious Diseases, Providence Regional Medical Center Everett, Everett, WA, United States of America.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Pneumonia Score Index (PSI) was developed to estimate the risk of dying within 30 days of presentation for community-acquired pneumonia patients and is a strong predictor of 30-day mortality after COVID-19. However, three of its required 20 variables (skilled nursing home, altered mental status and pleural effusion) are not discreetly available in the electronic medical record (EMR), resulting in manual chart review for these 3 factors. The goal of this study is to compare a simplified 17-factor version (PSI-17) to the original (denoted PSI-20) in terms of prediction of 30-day mortality in COVID-19.

methodsIn this retrospective cohort study, the hospitalized patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection between 2/28/20-5/28/20 were identified to compare the predictive performance between PSI-17 and PSI-20. Correlation was assessed between PSI-17 and PSI-20, and logistic regressions were performed for 30-day mortality. The predictive abilities were compared by discrimination, calibration, and overall performance.

resultsBased on 1,138 COVID-19 patients, the correlation between PSI-17 and PSI-20 was 0.95. Univariate logistic regression showed that PSI-17 had performance similar to PSI-20, based on AUC, ICI and Brier Score. After adjusting for confounding variables by multivariable logistic regression, PSI-17 and PSI-20 had AUCs (95% CI) of 0.85 (0.83-0.88) and 0.86 (0.84-0.89), respectively, indicating no significant difference in AUC at significance level of 0.05.

conclusionPSI-17 and PSI-20 are equally effective predictors of 30-day mortality in terms of several performance metrics. PSI-17 can be obtained without the manual chart review, which allows for automated risk calculations within an EMR. PSI-17 can be easily obtained and may be a comparable alternative to PSI-20.

Indexed as

COVID-19Severity of Illness IndexAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPneumoniaPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID38771892
PMCPMC11108185

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.