ArticlePloS one2024
Prediction of new vertebral compression fracture within 3 years after percutaneous vertebroplasty for osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture: Establishment and validation of a nomogram prediction model.
Article in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Prediction models for subsequent vertebral fractures after percutaneous vertebroplasty or kyphoplasty: a systematic review and critical appraisal.BMC musculoskeletal disorders · 2026Pooled it
- Risk factors for new vertebral compression fracture following percutaneous vertebral augmentation: a systematic review and meta-analysis based on multivariate logistic regression analysis.Journal of orthopaedic surgery and research · 2025Pooled it
- Risk factors for new vertebral fracture after percutaneous vertebroplasty or kyphoplasty for osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCFs): an updated systematic review and meta-analysis.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025Pooled it
- Risk factors for subsequent vertebral fractures after percutaneous vertebral augmentation in Asian populations: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC musculoskeletal disorders · 2025Pooled it
- Predicting residual pain after vertebral augmentation in vertebral compression fractures: a systematic review and critical appraisal of risk prediction models.BMC musculoskeletal disorders · 2025Pooled it
- Construction of a nomogram prediction model for individualized prediction of vertebral compression fracture risk in postmenopausal osteoporosis population.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- A nomogram for predicting fracture of the sandwich vertebrae after percutaneous vertebral augmentation: a multicenter study with 1-year follow-up.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026Article
- Development of a prediction model for recurrent vertebral fractures in patients two years after vertebral augmentation using noninvasive data: a retrospective study.BMC musculoskeletal disorders · 2025Article
- Effects of Osteoporosis Medication Use on Reprocedure Rates Following Vertebral Augmentation: A Nationwide Cohort Study.Clinics in orthopedic surgery · 2025Article
- CT- and MRI-based endplate osteoporosis status assessment for predicting adjacent vertebral fractures after thoracolumbar percutaneous kyphoplasty: a matched comparison study.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025Article
- Risk factors for refracture by different cement leakage after percutaneous vertebroplasty in patients with thoracolumbar compression fractures.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Article
- CT-based vertebral three-dimensional Hounsfield unit can predict the new vertebral fracture after percutaneous vertebral augmentation in postmenopausal women: a retrospective study.Journal of orthopaedic surgery and research · 2025Article
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5 authors.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
New vertebral compression fractures (NVCF) are common in patients with osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCF) who have undergone percutaneous vertebroplasty (PVP). We sought to develop a nomogram prediction model for better identification and prevention of NVCF within 3 years after PVP in patients with OVCF. The demographic, clinical, and imaging data of patients who underwent PVP for OVCF between January 2010 and December 2019 were reviewed. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen for risk factors for NVCF within 3 years after PVP. A nomogram prediction model was then developed and validated to visually predict NVCF. The samples in the model were randomly divided into training and validation sets at a ratio of 7:3. Twenty-seven percent of patients experienced NVCF in other segments within 3 years after PVP. Older age, lower bone mineral density (BMD), smoking, lack of anti-osteoporosis therapy, and postoperative trauma were risk factors for NVCF. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve suggested good discrimination of this model: training set (0.781, 95% confidence interval: 0.731-0.831) and validation set (0.786, 95% confidence interval: 0.708-0.863). The calibration curve suggested good prediction accuracy between the actual and predicted probabilities in the training and validation sets. The DCA results suggested that, when the probability thresholds were 0.0452-08394 and 0.0336-0.7262 in the training and validation set, respectively, patients can benefit from using this model to predict NVCF within 3 years after PVP. In conclusion, this nomogram prediction model that included five risk factors (older age, lower BMD, smoking, postoperative minor trauma, and lack of anti-osteoporosis treatment can effectively predict NVCF within 3 years after PVP. Postoperative smoking cessation, standard anti-osteoporosis treatment, and reduction in incidental minor trauma are necessary and effective means of reducing the incidence of NVCF.
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