Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38758563›Full record

SynthesisBJS open2024

Overall survival after mastectomy versus breast-conserving surgery with adjuvant radiotherapy for early-stage breast cancer: meta-analysis.

Kiran K Rajan, Katherine Fairhurst, Beth Birkbeck, Shonnelly Novintan, Rebecca Wilson, Jelena Savović, Chris Holcombe, Shelley Potter

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BJS open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07668362 (Clinicopathological Characteristics and Prognosis of Local Recurrence After Radical Mastectomy for Breast Cancer), which is not on this map. Cited by 36 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07668362 not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Clinicopathological Characteristics and Prognosis of Local Recurrence After Radical Mastectomy for Breast Cancer: A Prospective Cohort Study

TypeobservationalSponsorThe First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical UniversityRan2026 to 2036Enrolled100ConditionsBreast CancerArmsIndividualized therapy
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Endoscopy‑assisted breast‑conserving treatment: the first Polish review of 30 patients.Wideochirurgia i inne techniki maloinwazyjne = Videosurgery and other miniinvasive techniques · 2026
    Article
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  7. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Kiran K RajanBristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7337-2911
Katherine FairhurstBristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9838-4978
Beth BirkbeckBristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Shonnelly NovintanBristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Rebecca WilsonBristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Jelena SavovićBristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Chris HolcombeLinda McCartney Centre, Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Trust, Liverpool, UK.
Shelley PotterBristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6977-312X

Funding

Department of Health and Social CareNIHRNIHR Academic Clinical Lecturer CL-2020-25-002NIHR Applied Research Collaboration WestNIHR Biomedical Research CentreNIHR Clinician Scientist CS-2016-16-019University Hospitals Bristol NHS Foundation TrustUniversity of Bristol
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBreast-conserving surgery with adjuvant radiotherapy and mastectomy are currently offered as equivalent surgical options for early-stage breast cancer based on RCTs from the 1970s and 1980s. However, the treatment of breast cancer has evolved and recent observational studies suggest a survival advantage for breast-conserving surgery with adjuvant radiotherapy. A systematic review and meta-analysis was undertaken to summarize the contemporary evidence regarding survival after breast-conserving surgery with adjuvant radiotherapy versus mastectomy for women with early-stage breast cancer.

methodsA systematic search of MEDLINE, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), and Embase that identified studies published between 1 January 2000 and 18 December 2023 comparing overall survival after breast-conserving surgery with adjuvant radiotherapy versus mastectomy for patients with unilateral stage 1-3 breast cancer was undertaken. The main exclusion criteria were studies evaluating neoadjuvant chemotherapy, rare breast cancer subtypes, and specific breast cancer populations. The ROBINS-I tool was used to assess risk of bias, with the overall certainty of evidence assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) tool. Studies without critical risk of bias were included in a quantitative meta-analysis.

resultsFrom 11 750 abstracts, 108 eligible articles were identified, with one article including two studies; 29 studies were excluded from the meta-analysis due to an overall critical risk of bias, 42 studies were excluded due to overlapping study populations, and three studies were excluded due to reporting incompatible results. A total of 35 observational studies reported survival outcomes for 909 077 patients (362 390 patients undergoing mastectomy and 546 687 patients undergoing breast-conserving surgery with adjuvant radiotherapy). The pooled HR was 0.72 (95% c.i. 0.68 to 0.75, P < 0.001), demonstrating improved overall survival for patients undergoing breast-conserving surgery with adjuvant radiotherapy. The overall certainty of the evidence was very low.

conclusionThis meta-analysis provides evidence suggesting a survival advantage for women undergoing breast-conserving surgery with adjuvant radiotherapy for early-stage breast cancer compared with mastectomy. Although these results should be interpreted with caution, they should be shared with patients to support informed surgical decision-making.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsMastectomy, SegmentalFemaleHumansMastectomyNeoplasm StagingRadiotherapy, Adjuvant

Identifiers

PMID38758563
PMCPMC11100524

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.