Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38755703›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's research & therapy2024

Comparison of plasma and neuroimaging biomarkers to predict cognitive decline in non-demented memory clinic patients.

Augusto J Mendes, Federica Ribaldi, Aurelien Lathuiliere, Nicholas J Ashton, Henrik Zetterberg, Marc Abramowicz, Max Scheffler, Frédéric Assal, Valentina Garibotto, Kaj Blennow and 1 more

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's research & therapy, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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  6. Observational
  7. Article
  8. Biomarkers of cognitive and memory decline in psychotropic drug users.Journal of neural transmission (Vienna, Austria : 1996) · 2025
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Alzheimer's disease: part 2 - the present.Arquivos de neuro-psiquiatria · 2024
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Augusto J MendesLaboratory of Neuroimaging of Aging (LANVIE), University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland. augusto.martinsmendes@unige.ch.
Federica RibaldiLaboratory of Neuroimaging of Aging (LANVIE), University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
Aurelien LathuiliereLaboratory of Neuroimaging of Aging (LANVIE), University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
Nicholas J AshtonDepartment of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, Institute of Neuroscience & Physiology, The Sahlgrenska Academy at the University of Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden.
Henrik ZetterbergDepartment of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, Institute of Neuroscience & Physiology, The Sahlgrenska Academy at the University of Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden.
Marc AbramowiczGenetic Medicine, Diagnostics Dept, University Hospitals and University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
Max SchefflerDivision of Radiology, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland.
Frédéric AssalDivision of Neurology, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Faculty of Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
Valentina GaribottoLaboratory of Neuroimaging and Innovative Molecular Tracers (NIMTlab), Faculty of Medicine, Geneva University Neurocenter, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
Kaj BlennowDepartment of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Giovanni B FrisoniLaboratory of Neuroimaging of Aging (LANVIE), University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPlasma biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology, neurodegeneration, and neuroinflammation are ideally suited for secondary prevention programs in self-sufficient persons at-risk of dementia. Plasma biomarkers have been shown to be highly correlated with traditional imaging biomarkers. However, their comparative predictive value versus traditional AD biomarkers is still unclear in cognitively unimpaired (CU) subjects and with mild cognitive impairment (MCI).

methodsPlasma (Aβ42/40, p-tau181, p-tau231, NfL, and GFAP) and neuroimaging (hippocampal volume, centiloid of amyloid-PET, and tau-SUVR of tau-PET) biomarkers were assessed at baseline in 218 non-demented subjects (CU = 140; MCI = 78) from the Geneva Memory Center. Global cognition (MMSE) was evaluated at baseline and at follow-ups up to 5.7 years. We used linear mixed-effects models and Cox proportional-hazards regression to assess the association between biomarkers and cognitive decline. Lastly, sample size calculations using the linear mixed-effects models were performed on subjects positive for amyloid-PET combined with tau-PET and plasma biomarker positivity.

resultsCognitive decline was significantly predicted in MCI by baseline plasma NfL (β=-0.55), GFAP (β=-0.36), hippocampal volume (β = 0.44), centiloid (β=-0.38), and tau-SUVR (β=-0.66) (all p < 0.05). Subgroup analysis with amyloid-positive MCI participants also showed that only NfL and GFAP were the only significant predictors of cognitive decline among plasma biomarkers. Overall, NfL and tau-SUVR showed the highest prognostic values (hazard ratios of 7.3 and 5.9). Lastly, we demonstrated that adding NfL to the inclusion criteria could reduce the sample sizes of future AD clinical trials by up to one-fourth in subjects with amyloid-PET positivity or by half in subjects with amyloid-PET and tau-PET positivity.

conclusionsPlasma NfL and GFAP predict cognitive decline in a similar manner to traditional imaging techniques in amyloid-positive MCI patients. Hence, even though they are non-specific biomarkers of AD, both can be implemented in memory clinic workups as important prognostic biomarkers. Likewise, future clinical trials might employ plasma biomarkers as additional inclusion criteria to stratify patients at higher risk of cognitive decline to reduce sample sizes and enhance effectiveness.

Indexed as

Amyloid beta-PeptidesBiomarkersCognitive DysfunctionPositron-Emission Tomographytau ProteinsAgedFemaleGlial Fibrillary Acidic ProteinHippocampusHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeurofilament ProteinsNeuroimagingPeptide FragmentsAmyloid beta-PeptidesBiomarkersGFAP protein, humanGlial Fibrillary Acidic Proteinneurofilament protein LNeurofilament ProteinsPeptide Fragmentstau Proteins

Identifiers

PMID38755703
PMCPMC11097559

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.