Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38755344›Full record

ArticleNature food2024

Cost-competitive decentralized ammonia fertilizer production can increase food security.

Davide Tonelli, Lorenzo Rosa, Paolo Gabrielli, Alessandro Parente, Francesco Contino

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature food, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
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  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Atomic Precision CoCu Heterodimers with Pseudo-DAdvanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Atomic-Shell Engineering of GeSResearch (Washington, D.C.) · 2026
    Article
  10. High-Performance Fe-MoSACS sustainable chemistry & engineering · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Nitrogen management during decarbonization.Nature reviews. Earth & environment · 2024
    Article
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Davide TonelliInstitute of Mechanics, Materials and Civil Engineering, UCLouvain, Ottignies-Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium. davidetonelli@outlook.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2412-4695
Lorenzo RosaDepartment of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford, CA, USA. lrosa@carnegiescience.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1280-9945
Paolo GabrielliDepartment of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3061-4735
Alessandro ParenteAero-Thermo-Mechanics Department, ULB, Brussels, Belgium.
Francesco ContinoInstitute of Mechanics, Materials and Civil Engineering, UCLouvain, Ottignies-Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8341-4350

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The current centralized configuration of the ammonia industry makes the production of nitrogen fertilizers susceptible to the volatility of fossil fuel prices and involves complex supply chains with long-distance transport costs. An alternative consists of on-site decentralized ammonia production using small modular technologies, such as electric Haber-Bosch or electrocatalytic reduction. Here we evaluate the cost-competitiveness of producing low-carbon ammonia at the farm scale, from a solar agrivoltaic system, or using electricity from the grid, within a novel global fertilizer industry. Projected costs for decentralized ammonia production are compared with historical market prices from centralized production. We find that the cost-competitiveness of decentralized production relies on transport costs and supply chain disruptions. Taking both factors into account, decentralized production could achieve cost-competitiveness for up to 96% of the global ammonia demand by 2030. These results show the potential of decentralized ammonia technologies in revolutionizing the fertilizer industry, particularly in regions facing food insecurity.

Indexed as

AmmoniaFertilizersFood SecurityAgricultureNitrogenAmmoniaFertilizersNitrogen

Identifiers

PMID38755344
PMCPMC11199140

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.