Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38755171›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Impacts of human mobility on the citywide transmission dynamics of 18 respiratory viruses in pre- and post-COVID-19 pandemic years.

Amanda C Perofsky, Chelsea L Hansen, Roy Burstein, Shanda Boyle, Robin Prentice, Cooper Marshall, David Reinhart, Ben Capodanno, Melissa Truong, Kristen Schwabe-Fry and 20 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Susceptible host dynamics explain pathogen resilience to perturbations.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Susceptible host dynamics explain pathogen resilience to perturbations.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  15. Characterizing population-level changes in human behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

30 authors.

Amanda C PerofskyBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA. acperof@uw.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7341-9193
Chelsea L HansenBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4526-6772
Roy BursteinInstitute for Disease Modeling, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8991-4762
Shanda BoyleBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0005-6906-6686
Robin PrenticeBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7882-1050
Cooper MarshallBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-2106-2173
David ReinhartBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Ben CapodannoBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0007-1273-879X
Melissa TruongBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Kristen Schwabe-FryBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Kayla KuchtaBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Brian PfauBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Zack AckerBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Jover LeeVaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, WA, USA.
Thomas R SibleyVaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5269-2297
Evan McDermotBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-6257-9845
Leslie Rodriguez-SalasBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Jeremy StoneBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Luis GamboaBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Peter D HanBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Amanda AdlerSeattle Children's Research Institute, Seattle, WA, USA.
Alpana WaghmareVaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, WA, USA.
Michael L JacksonEpiAssist LLC, Seattle, WA, USA.
Michael FamulareInstitute for Disease Modeling, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA.
Jay ShendureBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1516-1865
Trevor BedfordBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Helen Y ChuDivision of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8502-9600
Janet A EnglundBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1134-4178
Lea M StaritaBrotman Baty Institute for Precision Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2870-5099
Cécile ViboudFogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-4711

Funding

U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) 75D30122C14368
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Many studies have used mobile device location data to model SARS-CoV-2 dynamics, yet relationships between mobility behavior and endemic respiratory pathogens are less understood. We studied the effects of population mobility on the transmission of 17 endemic viruses and SARS-CoV-2 in Seattle over a 4-year period, 2018-2022. Before 2020, visits to schools and daycares, within-city mixing, and visitor inflow preceded or coincided with seasonal outbreaks of endemic viruses. Pathogen circulation dropped substantially after the initiation of COVID-19 stay-at-home orders in March 2020. During this period, mobility was a positive, leading indicator of transmission of all endemic viruses and lagging and negatively correlated with SARS-CoV-2 activity. Mobility was briefly predictive of SARS-CoV-2 transmission when restrictions relaxed but associations weakened in subsequent waves. The rebound of endemic viruses was heterogeneously timed but exhibited stronger, longer-lasting relationships with mobility than SARS-CoV-2. Overall, mobility is most predictive of respiratory virus transmission during periods of dramatic behavioral change and at the beginning of epidemic waves.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2CitiesHumansPandemicsSeasonsTravelWashington

Identifiers

PMID38755171
PMCPMC11098821

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.