Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38755169›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Carbon pricing and system reliability impacts on pathways to universal electricity access in Africa.

Hamish Beath, Shivika Mittal, Sheridan Few, Benedict Winchester, Philip Sandwell, Christos N Markides, Jenny Nelson, Ajay Gambhir

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Hamish BeathDepartment of Physics, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK. Hamish.Beath16@imperial.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5124-9143
Shivika MittalGrantham Institute-Climate Change and the Environment, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4718-0064
Sheridan FewGrantham Institute-Climate Change and the Environment, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0876-158X
Benedict WinchesterGrantham Institute-Climate Change and the Environment, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2880-1243
Philip SandwellDepartment of Physics, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1117-5095
Christos N MarkidesClean Energy Processes (CEP) Laboratory, Department of Chemical Engineering, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4219-1867
Jenny NelsonDepartment of Physics, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1048-1330
Ajay GambhirGrantham Institute-Climate Change and the Environment, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5079-4537

Funding

EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 10105630Innovate UK 1004545RCUK | Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) ATIP (EP/T028513/1)RCUK | Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) EP/P032591/1RCUK | Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) EP/R030235/1RCUK | Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) EP/X52556X/1RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/2451429RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/R011613/1Royal Society Research Professorship
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Off-grid photovoltaic systems have been proposed as a panacea for economies with poor electricity access, offering a lower-cost "leapfrog" over grid infrastructure used in higher-income economies. Previous research examining pathways to electricity access may understate the role of off-grid photovoltaics as it has not considered reliability and carbon pricing impacts. We perform high-resolution geospatial analysis on universal household electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa that includes these aspects via least-cost pathways at different electricity demand levels. Under our "Tier 3" demand reference scenario, 24% of our study's 470 million people obtaining electricity access by 2030 do so via off-grid photovoltaics. Including a unit cost for unmet demand of 0.50 US dollars ($)/kWh, to penalise poor system reliability increases this share to 41%. Applying a carbon price (around $80/tonne CO

Identifiers

PMID38755169
PMCPMC11099103

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.