Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38755167›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Systematic review and meta-analysis of ex-post evaluations on the effectiveness of carbon pricing.

Niklas Döbbeling-Hildebrandt, Klaas Miersch, Tarun M Khanna, Marion Bachelet, Stephan B Bruns, Max Callaghan, Ottmar Edenhofer, Christian Flachsland, Piers M Forster, Matthias Kalkuhl and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Niklas Döbbeling-HildebrandtMercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany. doebbeling@mcc-berlin.net.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3170-1825
Klaas MierschMercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1055-267X
Tarun M KhannaMercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3442-7689
Marion BacheletMercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany.
Stephan B BrunsCentre for Environmental Sciences, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3028-9699
Max CallaghanMercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8292-8758
Ottmar EdenhoferMercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany.
Christian FlachslandMercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany.
Piers M ForsterPriestley International Centre for Climate, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6078-0171
Matthias KalkuhlMercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4797-6628
Nicolas KochMercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7775-034X
William F LambMercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3273-7878
Nils OhlendorfMercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany.
Jan Christoph SteckelMercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5325-9214
Jan C MinxMercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany. minx@mcc-berlin.net.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2862-0178

Funding

Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (Federal Ministry of Education and Research) 03SFK5J0
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Today, more than 70 carbon pricing schemes have been implemented around the globe, but their contributions to emissions reductions remains a subject of heated debate in science and policy. Here we assess the effectiveness of carbon pricing in reducing emissions using a rigorous, machine-learning assisted systematic review and meta-analysis. Based on 483 effect sizes extracted from 80 causal ex-post evaluations across 21 carbon pricing schemes, we find that introducing a carbon price has yielded immediate and substantial emission reductions for at least 17 of these policies, despite the low level of prices in most instances. Statistically significant emissions reductions range between -5% to -21% across the schemes (-4% to -15% after correcting for publication bias). Our study highlights critical evidence gaps with regard to dozens of unevaluated carbon pricing schemes and the price elasticity of emissions reductions. More rigorous synthesis of carbon pricing and other climate policies is required across a range of outcomes to advance our understanding of "what works" and accelerate learning on climate solutions in science and policy.

Identifiers

PMID38755167
PMCPMC11099057

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.