Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38753665›Full record

ArticlePloS one2024

Nonlinear modeling of oral glucose tolerance test response to evaluate associations with aging outcomes.

Grant Schumock, Karen Bandeen-Roche, Chee W Chia, Rita R Kalyani, Luigi Ferrucci, Ravi Varadhan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Gerontologic Biostatistics and Data Science: Aging Research in the Era of Big Data.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2024
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Grant SchumockDepartment of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-2361-9896
Karen Bandeen-RocheDepartment of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Chee W ChiaClinical Research Unit, National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Rita R KalyaniDivision of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Metabolism, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Luigi FerrucciTranslational Gerontology Branch, National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Ravi VaradhanDepartment of Oncology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.

Funding

EPIDEMIOLOGY AND BIOSTATISTICS OF AGINGT32AG000247 · NIA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Karen J. Bandeen-Roche · 1996 to 2026
$13.2M
ConProject-001UH3AG056933 · NIA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI BANDEEN-ROCHE, KAREN J., VARADHAN, RAVI · 2019 to 2021
$7.0M
Characterizing Resiliencies to Physical Stressors in Older Adults: A Dynamical Physiological Systems ApproachUH2AG056933 · NIA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI BANDEEN-ROCHE, KAREN J., VARADHAN, RAVI · 2017 to 2018
$3.5M
NIA NIH HHS T32 AG000247NIA NIH HHS UH2 AG056933NIA NIH HHS UH3 AG056933
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As people age, their ability to maintain homeostasis in response to stressors diminishes. Physical frailty, a syndrome characterized by loss of resilience to stressors, is thought to emerge due to dysregulation of and breakdowns in communication among key physiological systems. Dynamical systems modeling of these physiological systems aims to model the underlying processes that govern response to stressors. We hypothesize that dynamical systems model summaries are predictive of age-related declines in health and function. In this study, we analyze data obtained during 75-gram oral-glucose tolerance tests (OGTT) on 1,120 adults older than 50 years of age from the Baltimore Longitudinal Study on Aging. We adopt a two-stage modeling approach. First, we fit OGTT curves with the Ackerman model-a nonlinear, parametric model of the glucose-insulin system-and with functional principal components analysis. We then fit linear and Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate whether usual gait speed and survival are associated with the stage-one model summaries. We also develop recommendations for identifying inadequately-fitting nonlinear model fits in a cohort setting with numerous heterogeneous response curves. These recommendations include: (1) defining a constrained parameter space that ensures biologically plausible model fits, (2) evaluating the relative discrepancy between predicted and observed responses of biological interest, and (3) identifying model fits that have notably poor model fit summary measures, such as [Formula: see text], relative to other fits in the cohort. The Ackerman model was unable to adequately fit 36% of the OGTT curves. The stage-two regression analyses found no associations between Ackerman model summaries and usual gait speed, nor with survival. The second functional principal component score was associated with faster gait speed (p<0.01) and improved survival (p<0.01).

Indexed as

AgingGlucose Tolerance TestAgedAged, 80 and overBlood GlucoseFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedNonlinear DynamicsProportional Hazards ModelsBlood Glucose

Identifiers

PMID38753665
PMCPMC11098391

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.