Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38750522›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2024

Rethinking causal assumptions about maternal BMI, gestational weight gain, and adverse pregnancy outcomes.

Jodie M Dodd, Jennie Louise, Andrea R Deussen, Megan Mitchell, Lucilla Poston

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. FIGO good practice recommendations on preconception care: A strategy to prevent preterm birth.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2025
    Guideline
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Observational
  10. Association of maternal body mass index with hemodynamic and vascular alterations at 35-37 weeks' gestation.Ultrasound in obstetrics & gynecology : the official journal of the International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology · 2025
    Observational
  11. Socioecological correlates of parental lifestyle patterns during the antenatal period.The international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jodie M DoddDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The Robinson Research Institute, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia. jodie.dodd@adelaide.edu.au.ORCID 0000-0002-6363-4874
Jennie LouiseSAHMRI Women and Kids, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.
Andrea R DeussenDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The Robinson Research Institute, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.
Megan MitchellDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The Robinson Research Institute, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.
Lucilla PostonWomen and Children's Health and School of Life Course Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Funding

National Health and Medical Research Council 1196133
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe aim of this study was to evaluate commonly assumed causal relationships between body mass index (BMI), gestational weight gain (GWG), and adverse pregnancy outcomes, which have formed the basis of guidelines and interventions aimed at limiting GWG in women with overweight or obesity. We explored relationships between maternal BMI, total GWG (as a continuous variable and as 'excessive' GWG), and pregnancy outcomes (including infant birthweight measures and caesarean birth).

methodsAnalysis of individual participant data (IPD) from the i-WIP (International Weight Management in Pregnancy) Collaboration, from randomised trials of diet and/or physical activity interventions during pregnancy reporting GWG and maternal and neonatal outcomes. Women randomised to the control arm of 20 eligible randomised trials (4370 of 8908 participants) from the i-WIP dataset of 36 randomised trials (total 12,240 women). The main research questions were to characterise the relationship between maternal BMI and (a) total GWG, (b) the risk of 'excessive' GWG (using the Institute of Medicine's guidelines), and (c) adverse pregnancy outcomes as mediated via GWG versus other pathways to determine the extent to which the observed effect of maternal BMI on pregnancy outcomes is mediated via GWG. We utilised generalised linear models and regression-based mediation analyses within an IPD meta-analysis framework.

resultsMean GWG decreased linearly as maternal BMI increased; however, the risk of 'excessive' GWG increased markedly at BMI category thresholds (i.e. between the normal and overweight BMI category threshold and between the overweight and obese BMI category threshold). Increasing maternal BMI was associated with increased risk of all pregnancy outcomes assessed; however, there was no evidence that this effect was mediated via effects on GWG.

conclusionsThere is evidence of a meaningful relationship between maternal BMI and GWG and between maternal BMI and adverse pregnancy outcomes. There is no evidence that the effect of maternal BMI on outcomes is via an effect on GWG. Our analyses also cast doubt on the existence of a relationship between 'excessive' GWG and adverse pregnancy outcomes. Our findings challenge the practice of actively managing GWG throughout pregnancy.

Indexed as

Body Mass IndexGestational Weight GainPregnancy OutcomeAdultFemaleHumansObesityOverweightPregnancyPregnancy ComplicationsRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicBody mass indexCausal pathwaysDietary and lifestyle interventionGestational weight gainObesityPregnancy

Identifiers

PMID38750522
PMCPMC11094971

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.