ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2024
The impact of pneumococcal serotype replacement on the effectiveness of a national immunization program: a population-based active surveillance cohort study in New Zealand.
Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Prevalence of Streptococcus pneumoniae and Staphylococcus aureus co-colonization in healthy children under five years: a systematic review.BMC pediatrics · 2026Pooled it
- Serotype replacement and mobile genetic elements inMicrobial genomics · 2025Pooled it
- Determinants of pneumococcal carriage by age in Africa (2000-2021): a systematic analysis.Frontiers in medicine · 2025Pooled it
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Background: In Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ) PCV7 was introduced in 2008, then PCV10 in 2011 and PCV13 in 2014. In 2017 PCV10 was re-introduced, replacing PCV13. In the present study, we investigate the resultant rapidly changing invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) epidemiology. Methods: We compare the IPD incidence rate ratio (IRR) in NZ (2022 versus 2020) with other countries, and describe the IPD epidemiology (including trends in overall IPD and serotype 19A, and antimicrobial resistance) within NZ. Additionally, we performed a genomic-epidemiology investigation identifying the most common 19A sequence types and associated risk factors. Findings: Though IPD incidence rates have increased in the US and Australia (2021-22) after declines in 2020, in NZ the incidence rate is the highest since 2011 with a significantly higher IRR than US (p < 0.01). Incidence rates among children <2 and adults 65 or over in 2022 are the highest since 2009, driven by significant increases of serotype 19A (p = 0.01). Māori and Pacific peoples are experiencing the highest rates since 2009. Further, penicillin resistance among 19A isolates has increased from 39% (2012) to 84% (2021) (p = 0.02). Genomic sequencing identified the more virulent ST-2062 as most common among 19A isolates sequenced, increasing from 5% (2010) to 55% (2022). Interpretation: With very high incidence rates of IPD in NZ, inadequate protection against 19A, increasing resistance, and a more virulent 19A clade, targeted public health campaigns and increased PCV13 availability are needed. Funding: The NZ Ministry of Health funds IPD surveillance and typing in NZ.
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