ArticleNature communications2024
Global projections of heat exposure of older adults.
Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
31 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Climate change, trending outcomes for the care of older people, and financial expenditure: a systematic review and narrative synthesis.BMC public health · 2026Pooled it
- Dietary CoQ10 Ameliorates Age-Related Megakaryocyte Dysfunction via COPS3-Mediated Activation of Autophagy.Aging cell · 2026Article
- Epidemiology, mechanisms and clinical implications of heat-related kidney disease.Nature reviews. Nephrology · 2026Review
- Age-Friendly Environments for Healthy Ageing in Place: Refinement of a Multidimensional Index and Regional Disparities in South Korea.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Urbanization processes widen global divergence in extreme temperature variability.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Uncovering the role of preventive health services utilization in protecting older adults from heat-related depressive risks.BMC geriatrics · 2026Article
- Article
- Early seizures and heterogeneity of physiologic recovery in heat-related illness: a nationwide registry study.Critical care (London, England) · 2026Article
- Association between nocturnal ozone enhancement and daily cardiovascular mortality: A multi-city study in China.Eco-Environment & Health · 2026Article
- Global historical population exposure to heating and cooling degree days.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Unveiling heat vulnerability of older adults: an assessment of emergency hospital admissions in Switzerland.International journal of epidemiology · 2026Article
- Neurobiophilia.Brain sciences · 2026Review
- Urban warming reshapes the safe outdoor activity opportunity window: dual-metric evidence from Heat Risk Hours and PAO.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Rethinking biological resilience of older adults under climate change: an integrative perspective from planetary health and cultural ethics.Frontiers in physiology · 2026Article
- Extreme Heat Exposure Enhanced the Associations Between Prepregnancy Weight and the Hypertensive Disorders of Pregnancy and Endothelial Dysfunction.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2025Article
- Cumulative heat exposure and mental health in older Chinese adults with social isolation mediation.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Climate-workforce nexus at the centre of food systems resilience.Nature food · 2025Article
- Global monthly CMIP6-downscaled high-resolution (1 km) near-surface air temperature dataset (1950-2100).Scientific data · 2025Article
- What's the TEE: Metrics of Temperature Extremes in Europe NUTS Regions (1980-2024).Scientific data · 2025Article
- Plant protection, the Cinderella of the one health strategy?One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2025Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The global population is aging at the same time as heat exposures are increasing due to climate change. Age structure, and its biological and socio-economic drivers, determine populations' vulnerability to high temperatures. Here we combine age-stratified demographic projections with downscaled temperature projections to mid-century and find that chronic exposure to heat doubles across all warming scenarios. Moreover, >23% of the global population aged 69+ will inhabit climates whose 95th percentile of daily maximum temperature exceeds the critical threshold of 37.5 °C, compared with 14% today, exposing an additional 177-246 million older adults to dangerous acute heat. Effects are most severe in Asia and Africa, which also have the lowest adaptive capacity. Our results facilitate regional heat risk assessments and inform public health decision-making.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.