Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38740672›Full record

ArticleJournal of neuro-oncology2024

The incidence of brain metastases in breast cancer according to molecular subtype and stage: a 10-year single institution analysis.

Christopher Poletes, Bardia Amanirad, Anna T Santiago, Michael Yan, Tatiana Conrad, Katarzyna J Jerzak, David B Shultz

Abstract read
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Article in Journal of neuro-oncology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Radiotherapeutic management of brain metastases in patients with breast cancer: a narrative review.Translational breast cancer research : a journal focusing on translational research in breast cancer · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Molecular Underpinnings of Brain Metastases.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Christopher PoletesDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada. chris.poletes@gmail.com.
Bardia AmaniradDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Anna T SantiagoDepartment of Biostatistics, Princess Margaret Cancer Center, University Health Network, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Michael YanDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Tatiana ConradDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Katarzyna J JerzakSunnybrook Research Institute, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
David B ShultzDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBreast cancer (BC) is the second most common etiology of brain metastases (BrM). We aimed to examine the incidence of BrM among all BC patients presenting to a large tertiary cancer centre over one decade.

methodsWe included all BC patients presenting consecutively between 2009 and 2019 and cross referenced that cohort to a radiotherapy database, identifying patients treated for BrM at any time following their initial presentation. Cumulative incidences (CI) of BrM diagnoses were calculated using death as a competing risk and compared using the Fine-Gray method. Overall survival was estimated using the Kaplan Meier method.

resultsWe identified 12,995 unique patients. The CI of BrM in patients who initially presented with Stage 0-4 disease was 2.1%, 3.7%, 9.4%, 10.6%, and 28.7%, respectively at 10 years. For 8,951 patients with available molecular subtype data, 6,470 (72%), 961 (11%), 1,023 (11%), and 497 (6%) had hormone-receptor (HR)-positive/ERBB2-, HR-negative/ERBB2-, HR-positive/ERBB2 + , and HR-negative/ERBB2 + disease, respectively; the CI of BrM in each was 7.6%, 25.3%, 24.1%, and 26.6%, at 10 years following BC diagnosis, respectively. Median overall survival (OS) following BC diagnosis and BrM diagnosis was 28 years 95% CI [25, 32] and 10 months 95% CI [9, 12], respectively.

conclusionsFrom a large, registry-based study, we observed that patients with ERBB2 + and triple negative BC have the highest incidence of BrM. Our data supports prospective surveillance brain MRI studies. Given advancements in BrM treatment, clinicians should have a low threshold for brain imaging in BC patients with high risk subtypes.

Indexed as

Brain NeoplasmsBreast NeoplasmsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSurvival RateErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesBrain metastasesBreast cancerERBB2 +HER2 +Molecular subtypeTrastuzumabTriple negative

Identifiers

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.