Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38740416›Full record

ArticleCMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne2024

Projected estimates of cancer in Canada in 2024.

Darren R Brenner, Jennifer Gillis, Alain A Demers, Larry F Ellison, Jean-Michel Billette, Shary Xinyu Zhang, JiaQi Leon Liu, Ryan R Woods, Christian Finley, Natalie Fitzgerald and 4 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 95 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
95citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

95 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Nurses' Perspectives on Cancer Care for People Who Experience Incarceration in British Columbia, Canada: Challenges and Opportunities.The Canadian journal of nursing research = Revue canadienne de recherche en sciences infirmieres · 2026
    Article
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  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
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  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Should we screen for colorectal cancer with biennial FIT beginning at age 45 in Canada?Journal of the Canadian Association of Gastroenterology · 2026
    Article
  20. Colon cancer screening at age 45: the time is now.Journal of the Canadian Association of Gastroenterology · 2026
    Article

35 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Darren R BrennerDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance, Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Vancouver, BC; Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research (Demers), Public Health Agency of Canada; Centre for Population Health Data (Ellison, Billette, Zhang, Liu), Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ont.; Population Oncology, BC Cancer (Woods), Vancouver, BC; Department of Surgery (Finley), McMaster University and St. Joseph's Health Care Centre, Hamilton, Ont.; System Performance & Analytics (Fitzgerald), Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, Ont.; Nova Scotia Health Cancer Care Program (Saint-Jacques), Halifax, NS; Cancer Advanced Analytics (Shack), Cancer Care Alberta, Calgary, Alta; Department of Community Health Sciences (Turner), Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba; Paul Albrechtsen Research Institute (Turner), CancerCare Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man. Darren.Brenner@ucalgary.ca.
Jennifer GillisDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance, Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Vancouver, BC; Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research (Demers), Public Health Agency of Canada; Centre for Population Health Data (Ellison, Billette, Zhang, Liu), Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ont.; Population Oncology, BC Cancer (Woods), Vancouver, BC; Department of Surgery (Finley), McMaster University and St. Joseph's Health Care Centre, Hamilton, Ont.; System Performance & Analytics (Fitzgerald), Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, Ont.; Nova Scotia Health Cancer Care Program (Saint-Jacques), Halifax, NS; Cancer Advanced Analytics (Shack), Cancer Care Alberta, Calgary, Alta; Department of Community Health Sciences (Turner), Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba; Paul Albrechtsen Research Institute (Turner), CancerCare Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.
Alain A DemersDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance, Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Vancouver, BC; Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research (Demers), Public Health Agency of Canada; Centre for Population Health Data (Ellison, Billette, Zhang, Liu), Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ont.; Population Oncology, BC Cancer (Woods), Vancouver, BC; Department of Surgery (Finley), McMaster University and St. Joseph's Health Care Centre, Hamilton, Ont.; System Performance & Analytics (Fitzgerald), Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, Ont.; Nova Scotia Health Cancer Care Program (Saint-Jacques), Halifax, NS; Cancer Advanced Analytics (Shack), Cancer Care Alberta, Calgary, Alta; Department of Community Health Sciences (Turner), Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba; Paul Albrechtsen Research Institute (Turner), CancerCare Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.
Larry F EllisonDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance, Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Vancouver, BC; Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research (Demers), Public Health Agency of Canada; Centre for Population Health Data (Ellison, Billette, Zhang, Liu), Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ont.; Population Oncology, BC Cancer (Woods), Vancouver, BC; Department of Surgery (Finley), McMaster University and St. Joseph's Health Care Centre, Hamilton, Ont.; System Performance & Analytics (Fitzgerald), Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, Ont.; Nova Scotia Health Cancer Care Program (Saint-Jacques), Halifax, NS; Cancer Advanced Analytics (Shack), Cancer Care Alberta, Calgary, Alta; Department of Community Health Sciences (Turner), Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba; Paul Albrechtsen Research Institute (Turner), CancerCare Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.
Jean-Michel BilletteDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance, Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Vancouver, BC; Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research (Demers), Public Health Agency of Canada; Centre for Population Health Data (Ellison, Billette, Zhang, Liu), Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ont.; Population Oncology, BC Cancer (Woods), Vancouver, BC; Department of Surgery (Finley), McMaster University and St. Joseph's Health Care Centre, Hamilton, Ont.; System Performance & Analytics (Fitzgerald), Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, Ont.; Nova Scotia Health Cancer Care Program (Saint-Jacques), Halifax, NS; Cancer Advanced Analytics (Shack), Cancer Care Alberta, Calgary, Alta; Department of Community Health Sciences (Turner), Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba; Paul Albrechtsen Research Institute (Turner), CancerCare Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.
Shary Xinyu ZhangDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance, Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Vancouver, BC; Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research (Demers), Public Health Agency of Canada; Centre for Population Health Data (Ellison, Billette, Zhang, Liu), Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ont.; Population Oncology, BC Cancer (Woods), Vancouver, BC; Department of Surgery (Finley), McMaster University and St. Joseph's Health Care Centre, Hamilton, Ont.; System Performance & Analytics (Fitzgerald), Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, Ont.; Nova Scotia Health Cancer Care Program (Saint-Jacques), Halifax, NS; Cancer Advanced Analytics (Shack), Cancer Care Alberta, Calgary, Alta; Department of Community Health Sciences (Turner), Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba; Paul Albrechtsen Research Institute (Turner), CancerCare Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.
JiaQi Leon LiuDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance, Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Vancouver, BC; Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research (Demers), Public Health Agency of Canada; Centre for Population Health Data (Ellison, Billette, Zhang, Liu), Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ont.; Population Oncology, BC Cancer (Woods), Vancouver, BC; Department of Surgery (Finley), McMaster University and St. Joseph's Health Care Centre, Hamilton, Ont.; System Performance & Analytics (Fitzgerald), Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, Ont.; Nova Scotia Health Cancer Care Program (Saint-Jacques), Halifax, NS; Cancer Advanced Analytics (Shack), Cancer Care Alberta, Calgary, Alta; Department of Community Health Sciences (Turner), Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba; Paul Albrechtsen Research Institute (Turner), CancerCare Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.
Ryan R WoodsDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance, Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Vancouver, BC; Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research (Demers), Public Health Agency of Canada; Centre for Population Health Data (Ellison, Billette, Zhang, Liu), Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ont.; Population Oncology, BC Cancer (Woods), Vancouver, BC; Department of Surgery (Finley), McMaster University and St. Joseph's Health Care Centre, Hamilton, Ont.; System Performance & Analytics (Fitzgerald), Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, Ont.; Nova Scotia Health Cancer Care Program (Saint-Jacques), Halifax, NS; Cancer Advanced Analytics (Shack), Cancer Care Alberta, Calgary, Alta; Department of Community Health Sciences (Turner), Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba; Paul Albrechtsen Research Institute (Turner), CancerCare Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.
Christian FinleyDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance, Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Vancouver, BC; Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research (Demers), Public Health Agency of Canada; Centre for Population Health Data (Ellison, Billette, Zhang, Liu), Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ont.; Population Oncology, BC Cancer (Woods), Vancouver, BC; Department of Surgery (Finley), McMaster University and St. Joseph's Health Care Centre, Hamilton, Ont.; System Performance & Analytics (Fitzgerald), Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, Ont.; Nova Scotia Health Cancer Care Program (Saint-Jacques), Halifax, NS; Cancer Advanced Analytics (Shack), Cancer Care Alberta, Calgary, Alta; Department of Community Health Sciences (Turner), Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba; Paul Albrechtsen Research Institute (Turner), CancerCare Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.
Natalie FitzgeraldDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance, Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Vancouver, BC; Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research (Demers), Public Health Agency of Canada; Centre for Population Health Data (Ellison, Billette, Zhang, Liu), Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ont.; Population Oncology, BC Cancer (Woods), Vancouver, BC; Department of Surgery (Finley), McMaster University and St. Joseph's Health Care Centre, Hamilton, Ont.; System Performance & Analytics (Fitzgerald), Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, Ont.; Nova Scotia Health Cancer Care Program (Saint-Jacques), Halifax, NS; Cancer Advanced Analytics (Shack), Cancer Care Alberta, Calgary, Alta; Department of Community Health Sciences (Turner), Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba; Paul Albrechtsen Research Institute (Turner), CancerCare Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.
Nathalie Saint-JacquesDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance, Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Vancouver, BC; Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research (Demers), Public Health Agency of Canada; Centre for Population Health Data (Ellison, Billette, Zhang, Liu), Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ont.; Population Oncology, BC Cancer (Woods), Vancouver, BC; Department of Surgery (Finley), McMaster University and St. Joseph's Health Care Centre, Hamilton, Ont.; System Performance & Analytics (Fitzgerald), Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, Ont.; Nova Scotia Health Cancer Care Program (Saint-Jacques), Halifax, NS; Cancer Advanced Analytics (Shack), Cancer Care Alberta, Calgary, Alta; Department of Community Health Sciences (Turner), Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba; Paul Albrechtsen Research Institute (Turner), CancerCare Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.
Lorraine ShackDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance, Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Vancouver, BC; Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research (Demers), Public Health Agency of Canada; Centre for Population Health Data (Ellison, Billette, Zhang, Liu), Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ont.; Population Oncology, BC Cancer (Woods), Vancouver, BC; Department of Surgery (Finley), McMaster University and St. Joseph's Health Care Centre, Hamilton, Ont.; System Performance & Analytics (Fitzgerald), Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, Ont.; Nova Scotia Health Cancer Care Program (Saint-Jacques), Halifax, NS; Cancer Advanced Analytics (Shack), Cancer Care Alberta, Calgary, Alta; Department of Community Health Sciences (Turner), Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba; Paul Albrechtsen Research Institute (Turner), CancerCare Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.
Donna TurnerDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance, Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Vancouver, BC; Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research (Demers), Public Health Agency of Canada; Centre for Population Health Data (Ellison, Billette, Zhang, Liu), Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ont.; Population Oncology, BC Cancer (Woods), Vancouver, BC; Department of Surgery (Finley), McMaster University and St. Joseph's Health Care Centre, Hamilton, Ont.; System Performance & Analytics (Fitzgerald), Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, Ont.; Nova Scotia Health Cancer Care Program (Saint-Jacques), Halifax, NS; Cancer Advanced Analytics (Shack), Cancer Care Alberta, Calgary, Alta; Department of Community Health Sciences (Turner), Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba; Paul Albrechtsen Research Institute (Turner), CancerCare Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.
Canadian Cancer Statistics Advisory Committee

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCancer surveillance data are essential to help understand where gaps exist and progress is being made in cancer control. We sought to summarize the expected impact of cancer in Canada in 2024, with projections of new cancer cases and deaths from cancer by sex and province or territory for all ages combined.

methodsWe obtained data on new cancer cases (i.e., incidence, 1984-2019) and deaths from cancer (i.e., mortality, 1984-2020) from the Canadian Cancer Registry and Canadian Vital Statistics Death Database, respectively. We projected cancer incidence and mortality counts and rates to 2024 for 23 types of cancer, overall, by sex, and by province or territory. We calculated age-standardized rates using data from the 2011 Canadian standard population.

resultsIn 2024, the number of new cancer cases and deaths from cancer are expected to reach 247 100 and 88 100, respectively. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and mortality rate (ASMR) are projected to decrease slightly from previous years for both males and females, with higher rates among males (ASIR 562.2 per 100 000 and ASMR 209.6 per 100 000 among males; ASIR 495.9 per 100 000 and ASMR 152.8 per 100 000 among females). The ASIRs and ASMRs of several common cancers are projected to continue to decrease (i.e., lung, colorectal, and prostate cancer), while those of several others are projected to increase (i.e., liver and intrahepatic bile duct cancer, kidney cancer, melanoma, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma).

interpretationAlthough the overall incidence of cancer and associated mortality are declining, new cases and deaths in Canada are expected to increase in 2024, largely because of the growing and aging population. Efforts in prevention, screening, and treatment have reduced the impact of some cancers, but these short-term projections highlight the potential effect of cancer on people and health care systems in Canada.

Indexed as

NeoplasmsRegistriesAdultAgedAge DistributionCanadaFemaleForecastingHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedMortalitySex Distribution

Identifiers

PMID38740416
PMCPMC11090635

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.