Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38737480›Full record

ArticleChina CDC weekly2024

Construction of Prediction Model of Foodborne Disease Outbreaks and Its Trend Prediction - Guizhou Province, China, 2023-2025.

Li Zhang, Sufang Xiong, Shu Zhu, Jigui Tian, Qingyuan Chen, Xiaobo Luo, Hua Guo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in China CDC weekly, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Li ZhangInstitute of Public Health Surveillance and Evaluation, Guizhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guiyang City, Guizhou Province, China.
Sufang XiongInstitute of Public Health Surveillance and Evaluation, Guizhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guiyang City, Guizhou Province, China.
Shu ZhuInstitute of Public Health Surveillance and Evaluation, Guizhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guiyang City, Guizhou Province, China.
Jigui TianInstitute of Public Health Surveillance and Evaluation, Guizhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guiyang City, Guizhou Province, China.
Qingyuan ChenInstitute of Public Health Surveillance and Evaluation, Guizhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guiyang City, Guizhou Province, China.
Xiaobo LuoSchool of Public Health, Guizhou Medical University. Guiyang City, Guizhou Province, China.
Hua GuoInstitute of Public Health Surveillance and Evaluation, Guizhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guiyang City, Guizhou Province, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: Foodborne diseases pose a significant public health concern globally. This study aims to analyze the correlation between disease prevalence and climatic conditions, forecast the pattern of foodborne disease outbreaks, and offer insights for effective prevention and control strategies and optimizing health resource allocation policies in Guizhou Province. Methods: This study utilized the Results: Significant variations were observed in the incidence of foodborne disease outbreaks in Guizhou Province concerning various meteorological factors (all Conclusion: The analysis indicates that foodborne disease outbreaks in Guizhou Province demonstrate distinct seasonal patterns. It is recommended to concentrate prevention efforts during peak periods. The SARIMA-ARIMAX hybrid model enhances the precision of monthly forecasts for foodborne disease outbreaks, offering valuable insights for future prevention and control strategies.

Indexed as

ARIMAX modelClimatic influenceCombination forecasting model.Foodborne disease outbreaks

Identifiers

PMID38737480
PMCPMC11082649

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.