Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38730538›Full record

Trial reportNephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association2024

The long-term effects of dapagliflozin in chronic kidney disease: a time-to-event analysis.

Phil McEwan, Peter D Gabb, Jason A Davis, Juan Jose Garcia Sanchez, C David Sjöström, Salvatore Barone, Pavlos Kashioulis, Mario Ouwens, Syd Cassimaty, Ricardo Correa-Rotter and 3 more

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. New therapeutic hope for rare podocytopathies.Pediatric nephrology (Berlin, Germany) · 2026
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Chronic Kidney Disease in Balkan Countries-A Call for Optimal Multidisciplinary Management.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Phil McEwanHealth Economics and Outcomes Research Ltd, Cardiff, UK.
Peter D GabbHealth Economics and Outcomes Research Ltd, Cardiff, UK.
Jason A DavisHealth Economics and Outcomes Research Ltd, Cardiff, UK.
Juan Jose Garcia SanchezHealth Economic and Payer Evidence, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK.
C David SjöströmLate-Stage Development, Cardiovascular, Renal, and Metabolism, AstraZeneca, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Salvatore BaroneGlobal Medical Affairs, AstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, USA.
Pavlos KashioulisLate-Stage Development, Cardiovascular, Renal, and Metabolism, AstraZeneca, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Mario OuwensMedical & Payer Evidence Statistics, AstraZeneca, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Syd CassimatyGlobal Commercial Integration, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK.
Ricardo Correa-RotterDepartment of Nephrology and Mineral Metabolism, National Medical Science and Nutrition Institute Salvador Zubiran, Mexico City, Mexico.
Peter RossingSteno Diabetes Center Copenhagen, Herlev, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-1531-4294
David C WheelerDepartment of Renal Medicine, University College London, London, UK.
Hiddo J L HeerspinkDepartment of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmacology, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-3126-3730

Funding

AstraZeneca
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChronic kidney disease (CKD) presents a significant clinical and economic burden to healthcare systems worldwide, which increases considerably with progression towards kidney failure. The Dapagliflozin and Prevention of Adverse Outcomes in Chronic Kidney Disease (DAPA-CKD) trial demonstrated that patients with or without type 2 diabetes who were treated with dapagliflozin experienced slower progression of CKD versus those receiving placebo. Understanding the effect of long-term treatment with dapagliflozin on the timing of kidney failure beyond trial follow-up can assist informed decision-making by healthcare providers and patients. The study objective was therefore to extrapolate the outcome-based clinical benefits of treatment with dapagliflozin in patients with CKD via a time-to-event analysis using trial data.

methodsPatient-level data from the DAPA-CKD trial were used to parameterize a closed cohort-level partitioned survival model that predicted time-to-event for key trial endpoints (kidney failure, all-cause mortality, sustained decline in kidney function and hospitalization for heart failure). Data were pooled with a subpopulation of the Dapagliflozin Effect on Cardiovascular Events - Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction 58 (DECLARE-TIMI 58) trial to create a combined CKD population spanning a range of CKD stages; a parallel survival analysis was conducted in this population.

resultsIn the DAPA-CKD and pooled CKD populations, treatment with dapagliflozin delayed time to first event for kidney failure, all-cause mortality, sustained decline in kidney function and hospitalization for heart failure. Attenuation of CKD progression was predicted to slow the time to kidney failure by 6.6 years [dapagliflozin: 25.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) 19.0-31.5; standard therapy: 18.5, 95% CI 14.7-23.4] in the DAPA-CKD population. A similar result was observed in the pooled CKD population with an estimated delay of 6.3 years (dapagliflozin: 36.0, 95% CI 31.9-38.3; standard therapy: 29.6, 95% CI 25.5-34.7).

conclusionTreatment with dapagliflozin over a lifetime time horizon may considerably delay the mean time to adverse clinical outcomes for patients who would go on to experience them, including those at modest risk of progression.

Indexed as

Benzhydryl CompoundsDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Disease ProgressionGlucosidesRenal Insufficiency, ChronicSodium-Glucose Transporter 2 InhibitorsAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGlomerular Filtration RateHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisBenzhydryl CompoundsdapagliflozinGlucosidesSodium-Glucose Transporter 2 Inhibitorschronic kidney diseasechronic renal failurediabetic kidney diseasemortalitySGLT2 inhibitor

Identifiers

PMID38730538
PMCPMC11596089

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.