Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38724889›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2024

Weibull parametric model for survival analysis in women with endometrial cancer using clinical and T2-weighted MRI radiomic features.

Xingfeng Li, Diana Marcus, James Russell, Eric O Aboagye, Laura Burney Ellis, Alexander Sheeka, Won-Ho Edward Park, Nishat Bharwani, Sadaf Ghaem-Maghami, Andrea G Rockall

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03543215 (Can Staging Magnetic Resonance Imaging), which is not on this map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03543215 unknown statusnot on this map

Can Staging Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) Features Prognosticate Patients Presenting With Endometrial Cancer?

TypeobservationalSponsorImperial College LondonRan2017 to 2025Enrolled500ConditionsEndometrial Cancer, Endometrial NeoplasmsArmsRadiomics: Analysis of textural features of imaging (MRI and Ultrasound)
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Xingfeng LiDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College Hammersmith Campus, Du Cane Road, London, W12 0NN, UK.
Diana MarcusDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College Hammersmith Campus, Du Cane Road, London, W12 0NN, UK.
James RussellThe Imaging Department, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, Hammersmith Hospital, Du Cane Road, London, W12 0HS, UK.
Eric O AboagyeDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College Hammersmith Campus, Du Cane Road, London, W12 0NN, UK.
Laura Burney EllisDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College Hammersmith Campus, Du Cane Road, London, W12 0NN, UK.
Alexander SheekaThe Imaging Department, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, Hammersmith Hospital, Du Cane Road, London, W12 0HS, UK.
Won-Ho Edward ParkImperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, Hammersmith Hospital, Du Cane Road, London, W12 0HS, UK.
Nishat BharwaniDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College Hammersmith Campus, Du Cane Road, London, W12 0NN, UK.
Sadaf Ghaem-MaghamiDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College Hammersmith Campus, Du Cane Road, London, W12 0NN, UK.
Andrea G RockallDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College Hammersmith Campus, Du Cane Road, London, W12 0NN, UK. a.rockall@imperial.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-8270-5597

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSemiparametric survival analysis such as the Cox proportional hazards (CPH) regression model is commonly employed in endometrial cancer (EC) study. Although this method does not need to know the baseline hazard function, it cannot estimate event time ratio (ETR) which measures relative increase or decrease in survival time. To estimate ETR, the Weibull parametric model needs to be applied. The objective of this study is to develop and evaluate the Weibull parametric model for EC patients' survival analysis.

methodsTraining (n = 411) and testing (n = 80) datasets from EC patients were retrospectively collected to investigate this problem. To determine the optimal CPH model from the training dataset, a bi-level model selection with minimax concave penalty was applied to select clinical and radiomic features which were obtained from T2-weighted MRI images. After the CPH model was built, model diagnostic was carried out to evaluate the proportional hazard assumption with Schoenfeld test. Survival data were fitted into a Weibull model and hazard ratio (HR) and ETR were calculated from the model. Brier score and time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were compared between CPH and Weibull models. Goodness of the fit was measured with Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) statistic.

resultsAlthough the proportional hazard assumption holds for fitting EC survival data, the linearity of the model assumption is suspicious as there are trends in the age and cancer grade predictors. The result also showed that there was a significant relation between the EC survival data and the Weibull distribution. Finally, it showed that Weibull model has a larger AUC value than CPH model in general, and it also has smaller Brier score value for EC survival prediction using both training and testing datasets, suggesting that it is more accurate to use the Weibull model for EC survival analysis.

conclusionsThe Weibull parametric model for EC survival analysis allows simultaneous characterization of the treatment effect in terms of the hazard ratio and the event time ratio (ETR), which is likely to be better understood. This method can be extended to study progression free survival and disease specific survival.

trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov NCT03543215, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ , date of registration: 30th June 2017.

Indexed as

Endometrial NeoplasmsMagnetic Resonance ImagingProportional Hazards ModelsAdultAgedFemaleHumansMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalRadiomicsRetrospective StudiesROC CurveSurvival AnalysisCox proportional hazards modelEndometrial cancerMRIRadiomicsSurvival analysisWeibull parametric survival model

Identifiers

PMID38724889
PMCPMC11080307

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.