Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38724044›Full record

ArticleTransactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene2024

Climate change, malaria and neglected tropical diseases: a scoping review.

Petra Klepac, Jennifer L Hsieh, Camilla L Ducker, Mohamad Assoum, Mark Booth, Isabel Byrne, Sarity Dodson, Diana L Martin, C Michael R Turner, Kim R van Daalen and 60 more

Abstract readScoping Review
In one paragraph

Article in Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 42 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
42citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

42 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

70 authors.

Petra KlepacBig Data Institute, Oxford University, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-4132-3933
Jennifer L HsiehDivision of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Camilla L DuckerGlobal Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Mohamad AssoumThe Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Mark BoothSchool of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Isabel ByrneDepartment of Infection Biology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Sarity DodsonThe Fred Hollows Foundation, Sydney, Australia.
Diana L MartinDivision of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
C Michael R TurnerGlobal Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Kim R van DaalenBarcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain.
Bernadette AbelaGlobal Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Jennifer AkamboeDivision of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Fabiana AlvesDrugs for Neglected Diseases initiative, Geneva, Switzerland.
Simon J BrookerNeglected Tropical Diseases, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA.
Karen Ciceri-ReynoldsGlobal Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Jeremy ColeThe Fred Hollows Foundation, Suva, Fiji.
Aidan DesjardinsFaculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Chris DrakeleyDepartment of Infection Biology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Dileepa S EdiriweeraCHICAS, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK.
Neil M FergusonSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Albis Francesco GabrielliGlobal Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Joshua GahirQueen Elizabeth Hospital, Lewisham and Greenwich NHS Trust, London, UK.
Saurabh JainGlobal Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Mbaraka R JohnEnvironmental Health and Ecological Sciences Department, Ifakara Health Institute, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania.
Elizabeth JumaExpanded Special Project for Elimination of Neglected Tropical Diseases, Regional Office for Africa, World Health Organization, Brazzaville, Republic of Congo.
Priya KanaysonGlobal Institute for Disease Elimination, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Kebede DeribeDepartment of Neglected Tropical Diseases, Children's Investment Fund Foundation, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Jonathan D KingGlobal Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Andrea M KipinguEnvironmental Health and Ecological Sciences Department, Ifakara Health Institute, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania.
Samson KiwareEnvironmental Health and Ecological Sciences Department, Ifakara Health Institute, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania.
Jan KolaczinskiGlobal Malaria Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Winnie J KuleiPure and Applied Mathematics, Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology, Nairobi, Kenya.
Tajiri L LaizerEnvironmental Health and Ecological Sciences Department, Ifakara Health Institute, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania.
Vivek LalGlobal Leprosy Programme, World Health Organization, New Delhi, India.
Rachel LoweBarcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain.
Janice S MaigeEnvironmental Health and Ecological Sciences Department, Ifakara Health Institute, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania.
Sam MayerGlobal Strategic Partnerships, The END Fund, New York, NY, USA.
Lachlan McIverMédecins Sans Frontières, Operational Centre Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
Jonathan F MosserInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle WA, USA.
Ruben Santiago NichollsDepartment of Communicable Diseases Prevention, Control and Elimination, Pan American Health Organization, Washington DC, USA.
Cláudio Nunes-AlvesBig Data Institute, Oxford University, Oxford, UK.
Junaid PanjwaniBeVera Solutions LLC, Riverdale GA, USA.
Nishanth ParameswaranDivision of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Karen PolsonDepartment of Social and Environmental Determinants of Health Equity, Pan American Health Organization, Washington DC, USA.
Hale-Seda RadoykovaBig Data Institute, Oxford University, Oxford, UK.
Aditya RamaniDepartment of Pathobiology and Population Sciences, Royal Veterinary College, Hatfield, UK.
Lisa J ReimerDivision of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Zachary M ReynoldsSynergy America Inc, Atlanta GA, USA.
Isabela RibeiroDrugs for Neglected Diseases initiative, Geneva, Switzerland.
Alastair RobbGlobal Malaria Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Kazim Hizbullah SanikullahIntegrated Communicable Disease Unit, Regional Office for the Western Pacific, World Health Organization, Manilla, Philippines.
David R M SmithHealth Economics Research Centre, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK.
GloriaSalome G ShirimaEnvironmental Health and Ecological Sciences Department, Ifakara Health Institute, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania.
Joseph P ShottDivision of Neglected Tropical Diseases, Global Health Bureau, United States Agency for International Development, Washington DC, USA.
Rachel TidmanScience Department, World Organisation for Animal Health, Paris, France.
Louisa TribeDepartment of Communications, Uniting to Combat Neglected Tropical Diseases, London, UK.
Jaspreet TurnerWellcome, London, UK.
Susana Vaz NeryThe Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Raman VelayudhanGlobal Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Supriya WarusavithanaNeglected Tropical Disease Control, Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, World Health Organization, Cairo, Egypt.
Holly S WheelerOffice of Development Affairs, Presidential Court, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Aya YajimaVector-Borne and Neglected Tropical Diseases Control, Regional Office for South-East Asia, World Health Organization, New Delhi, India.
Ahmed Robleh AbdillehMinistère de la Santé, Djibouti City, Djibouti.
Benjamin HounkpatinMinistère de la Santé, Cotonou, Bénin.
Dechen WangmoMinistry of Health, Thimphu, Bhutan.
Christopher J M WhittyOffice of the Chief Medical Advisor, Government of the United Kingdom, London, UK.
Diarmid Campbell-LendrumClimate Change and Health, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
T Déirdre HollingsworthBig Data Institute, Oxford University, Oxford, UK.
Anthony W SolomonGlobal Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7101-6649
Ibrahima Socé FallGlobal Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.

Funding

CDC HHSEuropean Commission 101057554Fred Hollows FoundationGates Foundation INV-030046Li Ka Shing FoundationMedical Research Council MR/X020258/1United States Agency for International DevelopmentU.S. Department of EnergyWellcomeWellcome TrustWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

To explore the effects of climate change on malaria and 20 neglected tropical diseases (NTDs), and potential effect amelioration through mitigation and adaptation, we searched for papers published from January 2010 to October 2023. We descriptively synthesised extracted data. We analysed numbers of papers meeting our inclusion criteria by country and national disease burden, healthcare access and quality index (HAQI), as well as by climate vulnerability score. From 42 693 retrieved records, 1543 full-text papers were assessed. Of 511 papers meeting the inclusion criteria, 185 studied malaria, 181 dengue and chikungunya and 53 leishmaniasis; other NTDs were relatively understudied. Mitigation was considered in 174 papers (34%) and adaption strategies in 24 (5%). Amplitude and direction of effects of climate change on malaria and NTDs are likely to vary by disease and location, be non-linear and evolve over time. Available analyses do not allow confident prediction of the overall global impact of climate change on these diseases. For dengue and chikungunya and the group of non-vector-borne NTDs, the literature privileged consideration of current low-burden countries with a high HAQI. No leishmaniasis papers considered outcomes in East Africa. Comprehensive, collaborative and standardised modelling efforts are needed to better understand how climate change will directly and indirectly affect malaria and NTDs.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeDengueMalariaNeglected DiseasesTropical MedicineChikungunya FeverGlobal HealthHumansLeishmaniasis

Identifiers

PMID38724044
PMCPMC11367761

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.